Talking about Iran

Because this incident has provoked the contradiction between the United States and Iraq, Iran is ready to crack down on the world's largest energy supplier. Although this contradiction has a long history, after Iranian Major General Soleimani was killed by the US military, the contradiction became more and more serious, from Iran's unilateral provocation to the current situation of "confrontation between the two sides".

Iran: Since you dare to kill my Major General, I'll cut off your energy.

Iran can't sit still because of American air strikes. They gathered their best army and air force units and led their younger brothers to the southern city of Shiraz for a "joint military exercise" to show their strength to the United States. After all, Iran owns the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, while the Strait of Hormuz has the right to use national energy, so Iran threatens the United States with practical actions.

Iran: (to America) How dare you bomb my Major General? Believe it or not, I set fire to the Persian Gulf, leaving all of you without energy supply.

America: I don't care!

Onlooker: What should I do? If Iran really set fire, will it be difficult to buy oil in the future? The output is certainly not as much as it is now. Do you want to buy some in advance?

Therefore, everyone thinks that oil production will decline in the future. In economics, this kind of psychology is called "consumer expectation". If the output of oil is expected to decline, there will be a situation of "demand exceeds supply", which will lead to an increase in oil prices.

Second, the United States: Sorry, we can produce oil ourselves, and you can't threaten me.

The United States has no position on the threat of Iran, is indifferent, and even wants to laugh. After all, the "shale oil revolution" in the United States has made the United States the "world's largest" crude oil producer and energy exporter. Therefore, the United States has no threat at all, no matter whether you set fire or not, I have it myself anyway, and I can hold on!

Iran: You killed my people and I want to get back at you.

America: You started it!

Iranian: I don't care. Do you know how important Major General Soleimani is to us?

America: The bombing is over and everyone is dead. It doesn't matter. I haven't blown it up yet.

Iran: Waiting for sanctions. I don't know what you can do without energy supply. Please, please call dad!

America: Whatever. I don't care. I have one myself.

The situation was once embarrassing, the contradiction between the United States and Iran deepened, and the United States also increased its oil production, completely getting rid of the threat of Iran. However, Iran, after all, only pays lip service and has not really cut off global energy. Some supplies are normal, but the United States really wants to increase oil production, leading to oil surplus and affecting oil prices.

Third, OPEC+:No, there is too much oil supply, so we should reduce oil production in the future.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries is the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). They are rich in oil and are also responsible for international oil supply. However, after the outbreak of the US-Iraq war, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies decided to reduce oil production. Because they estimate that there will be an oil surplus in the future, and the United States wants to increase oil production, which undoubtedly aggravates the problem of "oil surplus".

Iran: I want to burn down the energy base! Oil prices went up, but they didn't really do it.

America: We want to increase oil production! The oil price hasn't come down yet, but they have really done it. )

Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries: Doing what? Clean up the mess! (A wave of his hand) Cut production! Pray that the oil price will drop, and I have decided to do so.

Looking at the war between America and Iraq, they can't stop it. Therefore, OPEC+can only control oil prices by reducing oil production to prevent "oversupply" and a serious drop in oil prices.

Therefore, although this incident started because of the assassination of Major General Iran, it is a great loss for Iran. "People struggle for a sigh of relief, and the Buddha receives a fragrance." Even if you dare not really cut off the global energy supply, you must never show weakness in front of the United States and be "strong for no reason." This has led to a series of questions about "future oil supply" and affected oil prices.