After losing money in stocks for so many years, why don’t you reflect on what went wrong?

This is a very good question!

The 80/20 rule in the stock market determines that most investors cannot make money, especially in a bear market. This rule may become the 19/1 rule, and most investors lose money. These investors who lose money always attribute their losses to various factors, such as the market is not good, the economy is not good, the main bookmaker is cunning, etc., etc., etc., they blame everyone and never reflect on themselves, are there any problems with themselves for losing money like this? Why not ask those 10-20 investors why they make money?

However, most investors will not reflect on themselves, and even if they do, few will solve the problem based on the content of their reflection.

Investors have been losing money in the stock market for so many years, and they still keep doing it and losing money. If they don’t reflect on it, they will keep losing money!

So do you think about it and know where the problem lies?

The problem of retail investors is a common problem! Let me tell you

You go to the stock market to make money. This is true, but the returns and risks of the stock market exist. Most people only see the returns, but ignore the risks and lack of understanding. The market is in awe, it is obviously falling, but it is lucky and delusional, hoping to rebound and get out, but the stock price falls all the way, and finally gets trapped!

No stock investor I know has learned technical analysis before investing in stocks. Of course, this was also the case when I first entered the market. However, if you do not have a solid foundation of technical analysis theory, you can only cross the river by feeling for the stones when you invest in the stock market. If there are no more stones, you will be flooded.

This is like going to the sea if you don’t know how to swim, or going to the battlefield if you don’t know how to shoot. The consequences will definitely be disastrous!

Technical theory must ultimately be applied in actual combat, continuously improved and summarized in actual combat, and finally formed a trading system suitable for oneself. Only stocks that comply with the trading system are the goals of your operation, and the winning rate will be greater! This trading system is your weapon to conquer the stock market!

Most retail investors do not have a trading system. They rely on recommendations from others to buy and sell stocks, or they choose at will.

Most retail investors know the discipline of stop-profit and stop-loss, at least more or less, but there are very few people who can actually implement it. The reason is ultimately the weakness of human nature. Wanting to make more after making money, being reluctant to quit after losing money, these will cause your profits to be swallowed up and eventually you will be stuck.

Therefore, you must continue to hone yourself in actual combat, and seriously implement stop-profit and stop-loss as an execution discipline, until you know that you can implement it in every trade!

When the market is not good, especially in a downward trend, they will chase the rise and kill the fall for short-term purposes. Under this trend, frequent operations are a taboo for retail investors. In the end, the market value will only become less and less! If you don’t take a short position when it’s time to go short, you’ll feel itchy if you don’t have the stock in your hand, and you won’t be able to stop if you don’t get caught!

For the bull stocks that I caught, they were out after not rising much. I lacked patience. Although the general trend was good, they were out after rising slowly. As a result, not long after they were out, the stock price continued to rise. Regret endlessly!

If you do the above 4 points well, then you will not be far from being a master!

Based on my reflection on A-shares, most of the people who lose money in stocks are bucking the trend. In other words, most people make money in the bull market. Losing money occurs in non-bull markets. It's that simple. However, there are too few people who know this truth. Or even if you know it, you still want to be lucky and go long when you are weak. Can it not be a loss?

Many investment masters have said that stock trading is as simple as going long in a bull market and short in a bear market. If you lose money, think back, did you lose money in the years when the market fell? I guess most are. If you don’t believe it, you can look at the attached picture. This is the annual chart of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index. As can be seen from the picture, it has been 18 years since 2001 (a child has grown up), and the years when a large positive line has appeared are only five years. In other words, in the remaining 13 years, we should not be long, or wait and see. But, how many people can do it?

If you can trade in stocks during the five years when the market surges, you will most likely make money.

That is, in the five years of 2006, 2007, 2009, 2014 and 2015, it was easy to make money. Think about it, right?

Of course, many people may not be able to determine which year will be the most popular. It's easy, just try it with a small amount of money first, and then invest more money after you confirm that the market is good. In this way, even the loss will be very small.

In short, the lesson learned from thinking about A-shares is to speculate in stocks when the market is strong. Don’t do it unless it’s a bull market. In this way, you will feel comfortable trading stocks and make money easily. There is a true saying: go long in the bull market and go short in the bear market.

The article is long but full of useful information.

The market is the trend - it is futile for swimming champions to swim against the current

There are many factors affecting the stock market, including political influence, economic environment, industry prospects, major stocks, and historical market trends. , etc. After analysis, the final study is just the final judgment of buying or not buying, selling or not selling.

The market is imaginary and a reflection of the unified will of a group of people. It is composed of the minds of all participants. Investors enter the market with different perspectives on understanding the market. . This perspective is "bias" (in quotation marks, of course), and the bias of each individual or organized group is the key to understanding the dynamics of financial markets. When the same bias, that is, due to the common imagination of large organizations or other people, will create a strong vibration in the investor group, it will form a herd effect in which we are involved. The reaction to the market will form a result - rise, fall or sideways. Now due to the effective transmission of information speed, this effect will be faster. It is beyond everyone's understanding. No one can accurately predict the market...

In terms of understanding the market, I very much agree with Soros's opinion. The so-called market is composed of the mind, which means that the market is composed of human emotions. The seemingly rational market is actually very irrational and full of biases. Prejudice is the driving force of the market. If we were not bearish and bullish, how could the market go up and down every day? Essentially there would be no market. Therefore, prejudice (human emotions) is not only the driving force of the market, but also the foundation of the existence of the market! In this way, we can easily understand that the bullish and bearish people are betting against each other in the market. No matter what the system is, there will always be people who lose money among those who make profits.

The outcome of the bet is unpredictable and we cannot predict it! Because the power of both the bulls and the bears is often changing, it is said that many kill many and empty kills empty. However, being unpredictable does not mean that we cannot grasp the present moment. Otherwise we would not be able to trade rationally. To achieve rational trading, you need to get out of the circle and keep a distance from the long and short parties fighting in the circle. Only in this way can you clearly see which of the current forces is better and worse, and then you can easily make profits by following the stronger side.

Patience is meditation - waiting for opportunities in the dark forest

Patience is waiting for opportunities to appear. All the books or masters' comments you see emphasize that you must be patient when doing transactions, maybe Yes, but the problem is that every master has not mentioned what kind of opportunity is considered a good opportunity to wait patiently. In this sense, the phrase "wait patiently" does not have any guiding significance for operation. In fact, investment, speculation or trading education is filled with too many such specious and meaningless remarks.

Think about it carefully. In trading operations, we don’t know when we will wait patiently for the so-called good opportunity, so we don’t need any patience. Patience is also an emotion, governed by its nature. In fact, real trading operations require "meditation". Meditation is also an emotion, but it is also a state. Therefore, such emotions have no restrictions and are natural expressions.

Why are most people unable to be calm during trading operations? It’s because we are afraid of risks and uncertain about future trends. Ordinary people are human and emotional, and everyone will have subjective emotions such as fear, greed, and hope. Under the control and disturbance of these subjective emotions, operations become unruly, which is the most fundamental reason for losses.

Why are wolves used to describe Wall Street financial giants or crocodiles? Because the characteristics of these two animals are to wait patiently for prey, and both are very greedy and bloodthirsty.

If you can grasp future risks in trading operations, I believe most people will be able to operate calmly. For example, if I promise someone that I will compensate for any losses, I will feel at ease if I trust this person's trading operations.

The most important things in trading

One: Only hold the correct positions.

Two: Add more weight to the correct position.

Three: Sell all within two or three days after placing a huge amount. (Remember, if you don’t remember to deduct money, the stock market will withhold it)

Controlling positions - the magic weapon for stock gods to win

I think position management is the most important thing in stock trading. Are we so sure we will win? It is not certain every time. The following is a summary of very useful position control strategies:

Winning probability: including winning rate and rise and fall ratio space (the rise and fall ratio space is what we call the profit and loss ratio, the meaning of odds. )

The approximate positions and winning odds are as follows:

If the winning odds are below 60, wait and see for short positions.

The probability of winning is 60-70, and the position does not exceed 25.

The probability of winning is 70-80, and the position should not exceed 50.

The probability of winning is 80-90, and the position can reach 75.

The probability of winning is above 90, and the position is full.

For example, two conditions must be met for a full position. First, the winning rate must be above 90. Second, the upside can be seen to be above 30-50, while the downside is 3-5.

It is equivalent to 10 times the odds before the position is full. The position management of this top hot money person above perfectly reflects the relationship between positions, certainty and accuracy.

But there is a key issue here, which is how to estimate the chance of winning or how to determine the accuracy and odds?

My personal experience is that the odds are measured from three perspectives: the overall money-making effect of the market, the strength of the sector theme, and the presence of popular stocks. The accuracy is mainly measured by your own model and trading system. Experience plays a large part here. Of course you can do statistics on the data to determine. For example: four short-term data: there are 2 sectors with sector effects, there are connected stocks, the profit-making effect of daily limit is as high as 80, and the market rise and fall ratio is higher than 9:1. At this time, I thought the chance of winning was over 90%.

For example, Livermore's batch building method

Never increase the position before making money on the first position. This will result in losing a small amount of money when you are wrong and making a lot of money when you are right. The winning rate has not changed, but the profit-loss ratio has changed, thus making money. This is the method used by Taiwan’s gambling god to increase his position.

Finally, let’s talk about the empty position. The empty position is an extremely powerful weapon and a shield when fighting a bayonet. Generally, we need to take short positions in three situations:

1. When market risks come, the effect of losing money increases significantly.

2. The rhythm of self-operation is chaotic and the mentality is very poor.

3. There are no operating opportunities that fit your own system.

If we can take a short position in these three situations, it will be an adjustment to our own rhythm, and it will also pave the way for us to win huge profits next time.

Let the profits fly for a while

Let the profits fly for a while - this is another key factor in making profits in trading. Only by losing a small amount and making a big profit can we make money, but we cannot Too much is absolute. Even if you make a small loss but don't make a big profit, you will still lose money.

The formation and continuation of every trend is not smooth sailing, it must move forward in waves. Many investors are often shaken out by market fluctuations before the trend is completed. Whether it is short-term or long-term, profitable orders should be kept for a longer period of time when the trend does not change or when there is no significant reversal. Unless the trend changes, otherwise, do not be affected by market fluctuations. Let the profits fly for a while longer.

You must learn to maximize your profits under the influence of trends, so that you can obtain better profit results in a relatively short period of time.

Soros said: Financial markets are inherently unstable, and the international financial market is even more so. International capital flows have booms and busts, and there are longs and shorts. Wherever the market is chaotic, you can make money. Identify chaos, and you may get rich; the more chaotic the situation, the more courageous and careful investors can perform.

The worse a trend becomes, the higher it will rebound. The deeper the decline, the more chaotic the market and the more likely a big market crash will occur. In many cases, the market is in chaos, and investors follow suit. Therefore, we often see panic selling pressure, with investors chasing high news headlines. Chaos is a godsend for calm and objective investors, because it may be an opportunity to find bargains and a time to redistribute wealth.

Psychological management - the root of trading is 30% technology and 70% psychology

In addition to technology, psychological management is more important when competing in the stock market. The so-called concentration and Dharma are what we are talking about. Without a method, you naturally don’t know how to calm down and follow the law. Such people's trading operations in the stock market may be based on listening to news, reading recommendations from newspapers and magazines, or individual stocks provided by investment consultants. They rely on luck to make money. When the luck runs out, they will undoubtedly lose. Many people have learned a lot of technical analysis knowledge by reading books, listening to lectures, and taking classes. They are full of knowledge and effort when it comes to stocks, and their explanations of market momentum are sound and correct. However, the results of their operations are mediocre, and they may even be losses. Why is this happening? It stands to reason that technical analysis methods that have been around for hundreds of years should have a certain winning rate. If you follow them, you can make money? It is because these people have learned too much and understand too many things. In actual operations, they sometimes use the wave theory, sometimes use KDJ, sometimes use MACD or RSJ... There are too many methods, and they are changed again and again. , but ended up not making any money. If you master too many technical analysis methods but don't use them with confidence and in accordance with the law, you won't be able to make a lot of money. The analysis can be complicated, but the operation should be simple. (Remember this sentence) Determine your trading basis, formulate the rules for entry and exit, and then make trading actions completely in accordance with these rules, only then can you become a big winner.

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In fact, the problem is not about introspection, but that the direction of introspection is wrong.

Most retail investors enter the stock market as a speculative act, which leads to losses. What they call "reflection" is actually more about reflecting on why they lose money in speculation, and then looking for a method and strategy that is more suitable for speculation.

The result is that the more methods you find and the more times you practice, the more serious your losses will be.

So, what’s the problem?

Obviously, the problem lies in insufficient knowledge of stock market investment.

In the stock market, you can make money by investing, and if you want to make a good investment, you not only need to understand the relationship between valuation and value, but also need strong self-discipline to make a move when it is time to make a move. Take a short position when you should be short, and hold on when you should hold on.

Unfortunately, most retail investors are immersed in the excitement and happiness of short-term speculation and want to see immediate returns.

Therefore, if the direction of introspection is wrong and the method of searching is wrong, it will naturally be difficult to succeed and there will be no effect.

After struggling in the stock market, every investor has the same mood at first. They come in just to make money. After making money for a period of time, it turns out that it is easy to save money and make money; most of the time I lose money, I feel annoyed and frustrated, and I even reflect on where I made the mistake? But no matter how you reflect and correct your operations, you will still lose money in the end. Because the stock market itself is about making money with seven losses, two draws, and one loss.

The stock market has its own mistakes such as investors’ professional knowledge, insatiable greed, chasing the rise and killing the fall, etc., as well as the mistakes of the market itself. There are mature capital markets abroad, not to mention that the A-share market is still a young child and needs to grow through constant exploration.

Take Yinguangxia as an example. It was known as the number one blue chip stock in the A-share market at that time. When the stock price was around 35 yuan, many investors were optimistic about its long-term growth potential and huge future development space. However, it was finally announced that it was a fraud, and the stock price fell all the way, and investors almost lost their money. No return. There are also Lantian Shares, Yi'an Technology, etc.

Regarding the stock market, I personally feel that we should treat it with a peaceful attitude and combine speculation with investment. Speculation: Take 3 to 5 years as a cycle, buy a handful at the right time, hold it for a few months and then leave, no longer participating, just wait for the next cycle. Investment: usually work diligently and honestly, and use idle funds to buy one or two blue chip stocks. Buy slowly, and apart from personal use, invest in it as soon as you have the salary. In this way, for the old, middle-aged and young people, as long as they are not greedy, there will be huge rewards. Personal opinion, for reference only, thank you!

After years of losing money in the stock market, you must first calm down and reflect on the problem of losing money. 1. Did you go against the trend and operate in the downward trend of the market? Because if the market falls and most of the stocks fall, the probability of successful operation will be greatly reduced; 2. Is the technology not strong enough? The stock market is a technical game market. If you go into battle naked, the consequences can be imagined; 3. Is your psychological quality not up to par? If you make a small amount of money, you will be scared away by the main force, and if you lose a lot of money but you are reluctant to cut your losses, in the long run, your account will naturally continue to shrink.

The A-share market has always been a place where a few people make money. In terms of the probability of losing money, more than 90% of people should lose money. Moreover, the A-share market has always been a place where bulls are short and bears are long. Many people During the slow bear market, I lost all my principal, and what I finally got was one sentence: The stock market is all a lie. In fact, as long as you have a suitable trading strategy and a stable mentality, the stock market is a place where you can gain wealth, and judging from the amount of wealth gained, the returns from investing in the stock market are still very generous. A stock with a daily limit of 7 can make you rich. Doubling your assets is a goal that no other investment channel can achieve. So why are most people unable to reflect on themselves after losing money in the stock market for many years?

To be honest, people who can engage in stock trading in the stock market are smart people, and they all have certain financial knowledge and investment vision. It is not that these people don’t reflect, starting from the first moment they lose money. Since then, they may have been reflecting, but this kind of reflection is sometimes ineffective. The main reason for this is that you don't know where you went wrong. This is a very critical point. I can make mistakes, but I must know where I made mistakes. As long as I know where I made mistakes, I can come up with ways to solve them. But for the vast majority of retail investors, they have no idea at all. Where did I go wrong? The trading time I chose was right, the trading target I chose looked good, and my actual grasp was reasonable. However, the trend of the stock was losing money, which made people very helpless. As soon as I bought it Just being trapped, prices rise as soon as they are cut off, and chasing ups and downs every day is simply frustrating. This is the dilemma faced by the vast majority of retail investors.

The reason why this happens is because the A-share market is indeed too ever-changing and there are no certain rules. Moreover, various emotional or speculative transactions are serious and full of traps and games. , you will stumble if you are not careful, and even long-time investors will fall into confusion. In such an ever-changing market, it is even more difficult to achieve stable profits. To achieve self-reflection and improvement, you need very strong trading skills and a strong trading mentality. There are very few stock traders who meet these two conditions. So from this thinking perspective, it is not that there is no reflection, but that there is no knowledge at all. No matter how you reflect, there are also cases where although the reflection touches on the problem, there is no ability to find a solution at all, and the reflection is ineffective.

Let me answer this question. In fact, after losing a lot of money in stocks, why don’t you reflect on it? In fact, I have been in a situation like yours. Anyone who has ever traded in stocks has had this problem at one time or another!

Many people have speculated in stocks, including me, and I have also lost money, because once a person loses money, his mentality will change, because he will have a luck mentality. Holding the idea of ??a comeback is a gambler's mentality!

I always feel that the stock has hit the bottom and should rebound, so I will choose to increase my bets. I cannot control myself well in the downward trend and have no patience. Many people will not know how to do it at this time. Reflection, because the mentality that drove him most was to make money immediately.

If you have a bad mentality, how can you calm down and think, so this kind of person is not suitable for stock trading. To invest in stocks, you must be able to withstand the money you invest. The money is gone, right Your life will not be affected. Only in this case is it suitable for you to invest. If it affects you greatly, don’t invest!

When trading in the stock market, you should have a calm attitude. A stock that Buffett is optimistic about will last for a long time. No matter whether it rises or falls, you will hold it in your hands and will not sell it. Many of us are like this. Buy when it goes up, sell immediately when it goes down, and let it go when it falls to a certain level. Many of them are short-term thinking. Stock trading should have a long-term investment pattern!

I hope my answer will be helpful to you!

I don’t agree with the questioner’s opinion. Do you know that people who have lost money in stocks for many years have not reflected on it? If people report that stocks have lost money, will they publicize it everywhere?

Ordinary retail investors who have made losses in the stock market for many years do not reflect on their own problems, but they do not know where their problems lie. How do you ask them to reflect on it?

Except for fools, everyone who loses money in the stock market will reflect on it, but some people can’t find the reason even if they reflect on it, so they just forget about it and do what they should do. Some people find out through introspection that they do not understand technology, so they learn stock knowledge and technology. Since I had no guide, I kept learning over and over again, but still couldn't make money in the stock market, so I was confused.

Others make money in the stock market, but you lose money as soon as you buy it. Why is this? After losing money in the stock market for many years, but still continuing to accompany me, am I not reflecting on it?

In fact, in the final analysis, it is those who lose money in the stock market who have not found the correct way to make money in the stock market. If you haven’t found the right way to make money, it’s just a waste of time and energy to reflect on it.

Reflect on what? Only by going to the stock market to find the operating rules of the index, the operating rules of individual stock prices, knowing the moving average and K-line under what circumstances will the stock price rise, and understanding the relationship between volume and price, and the supply and demand relationship between funds and chips, can those who lose money know what their mistakes are. Where and how do we need to reflect?

Mere introspection has no practical significance. What is really useful is to learn and find the correct way to make profits in the stock market. This is the kingly way. I believe that those who lose money in the stock market are not without reflection, they just don't know what they should do. And many people have taken practical actions and begun to study and find ways to make profits in the stock market.

This question asks both level and level. Why do you say that? Because investors who ask this question should be asking themselves, it shows that you are still aware of the importance of learning and reflection, but I tell you, it is useless. I can conclude that you are not suitable for stock trading at all. There is currently an important situation in the Chinese stock market. The 80/20 rule means that the majority will always lose money. If you want to become the minority who make money, and want to continue to make stable profits in the stock market, it is not enough to just rely on learning and summarizing. The most important thing is your innate intelligence and understanding. This is exactly what most people don't have. Normal people can take up to three years. After three years of study, summary, and reflection, if you still can't make money, I advise you to give up and go into an industry that suits you, because you are born with intelligence and talent. Savvy investors can master the basic ways of making money that are suitable for them in a short time. This is not alarmist, but real. It is always a small number of people who make money in the stock market, and most people are leeks who lose money. Some people no matter how they read books Whether it’s studying or listening to lectures, I just can’t make money. There are people like this around me everywhere. The stock market is actually a miniature version of society and life. A minority of 20% of society controls 80% of the wealth, and the ruling class of 20% manages 80%. Ordinary citizens, this is the reality, so if you are a successful person or a manager in society, you can quickly master the skills of making money in the stock market. If you have never had a successful experience in society, you have never had any experience in enterprises or institutions. If you have reached the management level, then I'm sorry, you will still fail in the stock market and still become a leek who loses money. There are very few exceptions. The reason is very simple. Some wisdom and abilities are innate and have nothing to do with majors or academic qualifications. Successful people will be successful in any industry. Mediocre people will still be mediocre if they change industries or environments. Successful people are a minority in any industry, and the same is true for the stock market...