What is the main force and what is the banker?

The main force is an institution or a large family with a large number of shares. Every stock has a main force, but not necessarily a banker. The dealer can control the price of a stock, and the main force can only affect the fluctuation of the stock price in a short time.

I showed you my best article to see if it was right. I just found it.

——————————————————————

Why have we been losing money?

90% investors in Chinese and foreign stock markets are in a state of loss, each with its own reasons, which are typical:

First, do not stop loss in time.

Many people either don't understand this truth or are too soft-hearted to do it. There must be a stop loss point, because you never know how deep the stock will fall. Setting a stop-loss point or stop-loss position is equivalent to "fusing" the stock you bought. If the stock price plummets, you will only burn (compensate) a "fuse" (stop loss price). In my opinion, whether a person can become a securities investor, the essential basic quality is not a smart mind and keen thinking, but the courage to stop loss.

Second, I always want to pursue profit maximization. Mainly in the following three aspects.

1. Originally, a good stock has been selected through fundamentals and technology, and the trend is OK. Just slowly rising or strong consolidation, temper can't stand it. By listening to the news or looking at the disk, I want to catch a hot stock and make a short trip before picking it up. Blowing the tomb is so thin = hair-slap. The operation of changing the local train to the express train itself is very difficult, and it is bound to take two risks: the hot stocks must have gone up when you find them, and will fall back at any time; Stocks with good fundamentals and technical skills will pull Changyang at any time after a slight increase or strong consolidation, and it is easy to get out. And once the short-term failure, and not stop loss in time, the opportunity behind will inevitably be missed.

2. Many people are aware that high throwing and low sucking, scrolling operation can get more benefits, and they are determined to do so. But after a year, it didn't roll up. The reason is that after throwing it, I have no patience to wait for it to fall back, so I can't resist the temptation and want to seize the hot spot and be short first. The result is just the opposite.

Man Cang all the year round. The stock market presents an obvious fluctuation cycle, and more than 90% of the stocks in the down cycle have no profit opportunities. However, many investors just don't believe this evil, and their fingers itch when they look at the red-hot stocks on the disk. The reporter of this newspaper is lucky, thinking that he can also buy stocks that are strong against the trend to short, and Man Cang every day. I wanted to improve the utilization rate of funds, but I often bought it as soon as I bought it-there was no stop loss-and I was deeply stuck. After all, only a few people can go against the trend, and in the down cycle, it is often strong today and weak tomorrow, which is difficult to operate. In addition, frequent Man Cang will make people physically and mentally exhausted, lose their keen market sense and miss real opportunities. Many investors are like this. They can't let go of the money in their hands for three days, for fear of stepping empty. Their psychology is the pursuit of profit maximization. Such investors, whether large or retail, have suffered heavy losses.

In fact, as long as we seize several opportunities every year, the income will be considerable for a period of time, so Buffett will become a master with an average annual income of 30%. If you pursue profit maximization wholeheartedly, you will be like a blind bear, and finally the profit will be minimized.

The stock market is a place full of opportunities, temptations and traps. We must learn to resist temptation and give up some opportunities in order to seize them.

Third, don't believe in yourself, believe in others.

Many retail investors have mastered many analytical methods and skills through learning and have a certain level of analysis. However, when I carefully studied a stock and prepared to buy it with a credit card, I listened to the shareholders nearby casually saying, "This stock is not good, it is not as good as XX……", and immediately gave up buying it or bought XX shares instead. Without rhyme or reason! When the stock you choose goes up, you will only regret it.

Fourth, make short-term use of published news or topics.

Although everyone knows that the shipment is good, many retail investors (including some old investors) will still be tempted to buy before the opening of the afternoon when they see the news that a company's annual report is excellent or has been reorganized. They want to buy at the daily limit of the day, and throw it when the market opens higher the next day ... more than 80% of the results: the high position is immediately locked. It is undeniable that the market is not standardized now, and the main force of the annual report with excellent performance has long been known before it was announced, and the stock price rose greatly when it was announced. If you are a dealer, what are you waiting for if you don't ship? Even if it really wants to go up, will it immediately give these follow-up retail sedan chairs? Since there are so many people receiving the goods, why not sell some good prices first, and then come back for rolling operation after falling back?

5. Inquire about news everywhere and use hearsay as the basis for stock selection.

The banker's escape is most likely the victim. In the first half of 200 1, there were many rumors about internet high-tech stocks, which led to a sharp drop. As a result, whoever believes it is stuck at a high level.

Of course, after reading the previous chapters, we believe that we won't make these mistakes again-just as a master of nine paragraphs won't make mistakes because of a simple formula, but players sometimes get carried away, so we should always keep in mind the psychological cultivation of the stock market.

A famous trader on Wall Street once said, "I made money quickly in the stock market, but I also lost money quickly. And every time I lose money, most of it happens when I am complacent after making money.

"If you think right, you will make money in the stock market!" In fact, speculating in stocks is a test of people's thinking. If your thinking is correct, you will make money in the stock market.

Why do most people lose money in the stock market? This is because they received an incorrect education when they entered the stock market, resulting in a wrong way of thinking, which made the majority of small and medium-sized retail investors lose money every year and become trapped people every year. Brainwash everyone now, let you abandon the original wrong way of thinking, re-enter the stock market with a new way of thinking, and win the greatest benefits.

One of the wrong mentality: speculating in stocks means throwing high and sucking low, not chasing a lot of stocks, but buying stocks at the bottom.

The first step in buying and selling stocks is to choose stocks, but how to choose stocks? You may say: suck low and throw high, buy bottom stocks. But where is this bottom? I remember a friend who just entered the market found that a stock fell from 10 yuan to 6 yuan. He thought that the stock had fallen by nearly half, and it was already the bottom, so he boldly bought it. A month later, the stock fell by more than 4 yuan. The friend thought: this time it should be the bottom, and he raised money to cover the position. Unexpectedly, less than a month later, the stock fell by more than one yuan, and he was nervous and afraid. This is actually a true portrayal of many retail friends' "copy-hunting movement". The bottom is rarely the price you can imagine. Imagine if most people can see the bottom, where can the dealer collect cheap chips? So remember, don't buy cheap things. There is nothing cheap in the market. If there is, there will be a price to pay. The most typical is time. In daily chat, I often hear that friends have been trapped for two to three years, or even longer. I want to say that you are here to make money from stock trading, not for long-term investment. When you enter the stock market, you must think about making money and maximizing the efficiency of funds. So you would say, I'm not sure if you suck low, but throw high, right? The literal meaning is correct, but in practice, how many retail friends can enjoy the pleasure of riding a sedan chair and really throw it on the high ground?

The second wrong mentality: when buying stocks, you must buy a lot of stocks.

In fact, there are only two stages in a stock, one is the banker's buying stage and the other is the shipping stage. In the purchase stage, the dealer is actually very hidden. He may buy a lot of goods in a broken position, which is the most difficult stage for ordinary people to grasp. Imagine if everyone found out that the dealer was sucking goods, how could the dealer collect cheap chips, let alone hype. Since the buying stage is not easy to grasp, isn't it a trap to buy stocks with quantity in the delivery stage?

The third wrong mentality: specializing in news stocks means that the importance of stock trading news is greater than that of stocks.

Some investors specialize in collecting and inquiring about so-called inside information, and then operate according to so-called inside information. What is said here is not that we don't attach importance to the value of news, but that most of us get incomplete and wrong information, because only a few people are closely related to board members or traders. The dealer's speculation on a stock is not only influenced by one news or one factor, but also by many factors. So we say that it is important to look at the trend of stock speculation, not the news, not the fundamentals.

First, the principle of stock selection

One of the principles: don't speculate on the "bottom" stocks on the way down (because I don't know when the bottom is and what the price is), only choose stocks with established upward trend. Among the stocks that have established an upward trend, find out the stocks with the strongest trend and the longest rising time.

We have made statistics on the trend of individual stocks in China stock market in recent five years, and come to the following conclusions: If a stock hits a new high or a recent high one day, the possibility of hitting a new high in the next 60 days will reach more than 70%; On the contrary, if a stock hits a new low or a recent low on a certain day, the possibility of hitting a new low in the next 60 days is as high as 60% or more. Please keep in mind the above conclusion, why not choose the stock with a 30-day moving average and choose the bottom stock and the stock with a downward channel that won at 7: 3? Stocks at the bottom or in the aisle will only make you lose money or time.

The second principle: choose stocks that run upward at a 45-degree angle, and the trading volume will gradually decrease.

45-degree stocks are the most stable and last the longest. This is like our construction technicians building the stairs into a shape of 45 degrees or close to 45 degrees. Because this is the most stable form, we call stocks with this characteristic "stair stocks". If once you find that the "staircase stock" moves closer to the 45-degree angle, and the trading volume of a stock is gradually decreasing, then nine times out of ten you will find the shadow of the banker in the corridor.

The third principle: when the general trend is good, it is the most exciting to choose to buy stocks with continuous daily limit and intervene in such stocks.

Since the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets implemented the daily limit, we have followed the trend of each stock after the daily limit for several years and achieved satisfactory results. Through the tracking statistics of daily limit stocks in recent two years, the following conclusions are drawn from the research and analysis:

1) Short-term trend of daily limit

(1) The trend of daily limit stocks the next day.

Through the analysis of stocks that have experienced daily limit, the average increase of the highest point on the second day is 5.92%, and the average income is 2.86% according to the closing price on the second day. Therefore, if short-term intervention in the daily limit stocks, the average income of the next day is much higher than the current secondary market, even if calculated according to the average income, the annual income is at least above 65%.

(2) the relationship between the next day's trend of daily limit stocks and their stock prices. It can be found that the average closing increase of daily limit stocks below 7 yuan is above 4%, which is much higher than the average yield of 2.86%. Therefore, the investment income of low-priced daily limit stocks will be higher. We also find that the yield of high-priced stocks with daily limit above 20 yuan is relatively high.

(3) The relationship between the trend of the daily limit stock on the second day and its circulation size. Among the daily limit stocks, the stocks with circulating funds of 30-80 million shares showed a better trend the next day, and their average increase was much higher than the average level. Perhaps it is the daily limit of mid-cap stocks, and it may be the main intervention of a larger level, but it is different from small-cap stocks (only for powerful families) and super-large-cap stocks (the plates are too heavy to continue to rise). Therefore, participating in the daily limit of 30-80 million, the yield is higher.

2) Mid-term trend analysis of daily limit stocks

There are four medium-term trends * * * after the daily limit: unilateral upward after the daily limit; Unilateral decline after the daily limit; After the daily limit, it rose slightly and then fell back; After the daily limit, it first fell slightly and then rose. The purpose of studying the medium-term trend of daily limit stocks is: if the daily limit stocks are not sold in time and held in the middle line, what is the yield? We find that the proportion of unilateral rise and first slight decline followed by rise is as high as 65%, which means that the medium-term trend of daily limit stocks is more likely to go up, and the trend of daily limit stocks is obviously better than other stocks. Of course, for the mid-line shareholding of daily limit stocks, it is also advisable to refer to the market trend and the fundamentals of each stock.

2. Method of buying stocks

1) How to buy "Stairs"?

The stage when a stock climbs the stairs is often the initial stage when the banker slowly builds a position, which leads to the gradual rise of the stock price and the formation of a preliminary stair shape. Once the dealer opens a position, the next step is to clear the retail investors who are still in this stock. There are two purposes to wash the dishes before the dealer pulls up: one is to reduce the selling pressure of retail investors when the stock price reaches a high level, the other is to increase the average shareholding cost, and the purpose is also to reduce selling.

Bankers generally wash dishes in two forms:

First, it is fierce; For this kind of dish washing, you only need to look at the number of external disks and the number of internal disks on the real-time disk surface of the software (or other analysis software). If it is found that the number of external disks is greater than the number of internal disks (that is, the number of red orders sold is greater than the number of green orders), it can be proved that the dealer is washing dishes instead of shipping them. In this way, you only need to intervene in the second negative line, or after the negative line appears, you can intervene below the opening price the next day.

Second, Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin-Yin. The intervention point of this kind of stock is generally that the stock price has been falling for two to three days in a row, and when the trading volume has obviously shrunk compared with the previous period, it is bought. If it shrinks after four to five days, don't buy it.

2) How to buy daily limit stocks

(1) Object of stock selection: Through the above analysis, we think that short-term speculation should be the main way to intervene in the daily limit stocks, and choose stocks with low price (below 7 yuan) or high price (above 20 yuan) (note: low-priced and high-priced stocks depend on the current market and stock price), and stocks circulating between 30 million and 80 million shares should be the first choice. In case of stock trading with a share price of about 1 100 million yuan in circulation, it should be shipped in time the next day.

(2) Intervention time: Through argumentation, the earlier a stock leaves the market, the better the trend will be the next day. If a stock stops trading before the close, the next day's trend is not ideal. Moreover, most stocks always have an opportunity to open the daily limit after the daily limit, and the best intervention time should be the moment when the daily limit is closed again.

Pay attention to the following points when buying daily limit stocks:

(1) In a very strong market, especially when there are about five stocks with daily limit, we should boldly chase the daily limit. The extremely weak market must not chase the daily limit, and the probability is relatively small.

(2) Chasing the daily limit-selecting new shares with themes, sorting them out a little after listing for a few days, and suddenly jumping to the daily limit one day; Secondly, the stock price has been consolidating at the bottom for a long time and has not risen sharply. After a period of daily limit of three strong stocks, the strong consolidation ended and the daily limit was reached.

(3) Be sure to stop trading, and don't chase (don't chase at all) before the stop trading. Once it is found that the main force has scored more than three digits in the daily limit, it is necessary to chase it immediately, quickly and ruthlessly.

(4) We should stick to this operation style and don't change our thinking, so as not to lose the opportunity to attack when there is no daily limit in the market and one's fingers itch to set foot in other quilt covers.

(5) Search the gains list in time to see the current price, early trading trend and circulation of stocks close to the daily limit, and determine whether it can be used as an intervention object. When the increase exceeds 9%, it is necessary to be prepared to buy, in case the main force can't buy it.

(6) The trading volume of the chased stocks on the same day should not be too large, which is generally 1-2 times that of the previous day. You can simply calculate it half an hour after the opening of the day. (that is to say, to control the turnover rate, as small as possible, indicating that the main control degree is relatively high. )

(7) When the whole sector starts, it is necessary to catch up with the first daily limit, that is, the leader, especially in a big bull market or a very strong market. If you want to catch up, you must catch up with the first daily limit.

3) Sales method

When you throw a stock, you must remember to throw it when it goes up, and never think of throwing it when it falls. Generally speaking, after a stock has pulled three zhongyang lines, it is time to consider short-term selling.

1) Selling point of "Stairs"

The rising height of "stair stock" is generally twice the length of the previous trend after its first shock, that is to say, the shock point is just the midpoint of the rising angle of stairs. At the same time, we need to pay close attention to the changes in trading volume. Once there is a continuous (at least three trading days or more) heavy volume, we should pay attention to be prepared to go out at any time.

2) Selling opportunities of daily limit stocks

(1) People who can read the EMA can immediately throw out the stock when the 5-day EMA level off or turn their heads, or when the red column in the macd indicator is shortened or leveled off.

(2) Don't look at technical indicators. If the daily limit is about 30 minutes the next day, hold it boldly. If there is no daily limit, after a period of rise, the stock price platform will be thrown out immediately after a few days of adjustment, or it can be thrown out the next day.

(3) If the chased stock doesn't rise for three days, it will be thrown out to avoid delaying the fighter or deeply locking it up.

(4) During a period of market downturn, there were no daily limit stocks. Once the stock rebounds strongly or reverses, the first daily limit will probably be the leader in the afternoon, even if the rebound is much stronger than other stocks.

IV) Suggestions

I suggest that you only speculate in these two types of stocks in the future, and the profit from operating according to the above operation style must be very high. The first is to look for "stair stocks" in the weak market and collect them as the middle line. Once the general trend is stable, it will climb up. The second is to buy daily limit stocks when the general trend is good, and make daily limit with the dealer to do short-term trading. If you are puzzled or uncertain about the stocks with daily limit, you should spend more time in short positions, insist on waiting, and seize the stocks with daily limit below 7 yuan. Generally, the increase is above 50%, reaching 100%. It is enough to catch only three stocks a year.

In addition, we hope you can combine short-term and medium-term stock trading. Medium-term stocks are held for 2-5 months, short-term stocks are held for 3-7 days, and the ratio of medium-term and short-term funds is preferably 6: 4 (that is, medium-term stocks account for 60% of funds and short-term stocks account for 40% of funds).