How will garlic market in the second half of this year?

from June 2 to 22, the reporter visited the main garlic producing areas in Jinxiang, Shandong province and Pizhou, Xuzhou, and reported the "puzzle" of the sudden drop of garlic trade in "Garlic Wall Street". Recently, the People's Daily and other media have also begun to pay attention to the strange circle of garlic speculation. How will the current stagnant garlic market affect Yangzhou? The reporter conducted an interview on this.

Visiting Yangzhou

The wholesale price is lower than that of the producing area

"At present, the wholesale price of garlic is better at three yuan, two yuan, two yuan, six yuan and seven yuan, and the most expensive fine garlic is only three yuan and six yuan." Yesterday, the reporter learned from Lianyi Vegetable Wholesale Market that the price of garlic has not risen at present, even lower than the purchase price of Tiantou in Jinxiang, Shandong Province.

Mr. Wang, a garlic merchant, said that the market he learned was that the purchase price of garlic farmers in Jinxiang and other garlic producing areas was still firm, with 3.34 yuan per catty. "I heard that many garlic farmers feel that this price is selling at a loss, and they don't sell it." Mr. Wang said that the wholesale price of garlic this year is lower than the price of farmland, and he doesn't understand it.

Mr. Li, a vegetable merchant, has his own views on this phenomenon. He said that at present, some of the garlic consumed in the market is still fresh garlic bought by some garlic merchants in two or three at the time of garlic harvest. After < P >, the wholesale price is lower than the current field price, which does not mean that it does not make money.

"Garlic is not like some melons and fruits. This agricultural product has its particularity." Mr. Li said that because it can be stored for a period of time, many merchants will store more and digest it slowly when the price is cheap, so it is not difficult to understand that the wholesale price is lower than the head price of the producing area.

Some garlic farmers can't help throwing garlic

Connecting the producing areas

From June 2 to 22, the reporter went to Jinxiang, Shandong and Pizhou, Xuzhou to investigate the main producing areas of garlic, and found that the garlic trade was "cold". Recently, the People's Daily and other media said that the current garlic trade is caught in a strange circle of speculation, and the transaction is almost stagnant. Yesterday, the reporter contacted Liu Chaojian, a garlic merchant in Jinxiang, Shandong Province. He also worked as a garlic broker. He said that the current garlic trading market is similar to the situation that the reporter visited a few days ago, and there is still little movement in the storage of garlic.

"It's July now. I'm afraid it's hard to sell it if I hold it in my hand for dozens of days." Liu Chaojian said that in general, the end of July is a day of crazy inventory of garlic, and there is still not much movement. Garlic merchants are still waiting to see, but some garlic farmers are anxious.

Liu Chaojian said that some garlic farmers

can't help but start throwing garlic. "The price of the field head is three dollars and one hundred and two. If it is cheaper, it will not be sold." Liu Chaojian said that many garlic farmers have less garlic, so it is impossible to store it in cold storage. By August, even if it is purchased and stored in cold storage, the germination rate of garlic will increase a lot. Once garlic germinates, it will be worthless.

"Now the garlic purchase is in a stalemate. Those who receive it refuse to accept it at a high price and those who sell it refuse to sell it at a low price." Liu Chaojian said that at this time in previous years, many cold storages have begun to store garlic, but this year it is relatively deserted.

The price of garlic may drop slightly in the short term

Industry analysis

"In the short term, the price of garlic may drop slightly due to the influence of some garlic farmers, but it should not drop much." Although Liu Chaojian is still a little confused about the current garlic market, he said that as some garlic farmers can't help but start throwing garlic, the price of garlic may be somewhat loose.

in the interview, both Yangcheng vegetable merchants and some garlic buyers and brokers in Jinxiang, the main garlic producing area, felt that it was unlikely that the price of garlic would drop significantly.

"If we continue to consume so much, the storage price of garlic will be hard to come down." Mr. Hu, an agent in jinxiang garlic, Shandong Province, said that after all, summer is the peak of garlic consumption, and a lot of garlic has been stored in the market at present. Under the relatively high consumption demand, some garlic farmers can only affect the price of garlic for a short time, and the possibility of garlic price soaring is still very high.

Mr. Hu, a garlic broker, said that under the situation of high price of garlic, garlic farmers are worried that they will spend more money to buy garlic seeds after selling them all, so some of them will be left by garlic farmers as garlic seeds in the coming year. "Each family should keep four or five hundred kilograms as garlic seeds. In the case of reduced production this year, there should not be many garlic to be sold." Mr. Hu said that the final price of garlic this year will depend on the degree of the upcoming storage. It is estimated that after July, the price market will gradually become clear.