Why did Russia become a gas station with a nuclear bomb?

Putin will run for the Russian president again. Since he became president for the first time in 2000, he served as president for three times in 14, during which he served as prime minister for four years.

But it's the same. After all, when he was president, the president had the final say. When he was prime minister, the prime minister had the final say.

Waiting for Putin is another dynamic term!

Putin highly praised Storey Ping, a reformer of the Russian era, and quoted him as saying: "Give Russia 20 years of internal and external stability, and it will become unrecognizable."

Well, it will be 17 by the end of 16. As a result, we really can't recognize Russia with 16-Russia's GDP last year was only 1.283 trillion US dollars, which was a little higher than that of Guangdong Province last year.

Great! We can hardly tell Russia from Guangdong Province!

Considering that the population of Russia is higher than that of Guangdong Province, the per capita GDP of Guangdong Province is already higher than that of Russia. In fact, Guangdong is already a rich province in China. It's too bullying to compare Guangdong with Russia. Even China's per capita GDP is almost catching up with Russia. I'm still a little excited to think that the big brother of the former Soviet Union lived a hard life like us.

You know, in 2000, when Putin came to power, the per capita GDP of Russia was nearly twice that of China. How come it has developed for so many years, and the result is more and more regrettable?

Many people will make excuses for Russia's economic failure. In short, it's not that Putin doesn't give strength, but that the US imperialists impose sanctions, investment freezes and oil prices fall. These reasons have some truth, but, Putin sauce, don't you have any responsibility?

When oil is shrinking, it is not difficult for Russia to export.

Last year, Russia exported 287.6 billion US dollars, down 17.0% year-on-year. Why did you lose so much? Maybe it's really about oil. Look at the Russian export structure below.

Aha, can't read English? Guanchaojun will patiently help you explain.

These light browns on the left are all energy and its processed products, accounting for half of Russia's exports, of which crude oil and refined oil account for 40%, natural gas accounts for 5.7%, and coal accounts for about 3%.

Looking at the right half, the top red products are steel, metallurgy, papermaking and other products, accounting for about 17% of the total export, while the middle golden products are by-products of agriculture, forestry and animal husbandry, accounting for about 5.7% of the export. The dark red at the bottom of the middle is wood, soybeans, iron ore, lead ore and other bulk products, which is similar to the percentage of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and by-fishing.

In other words, the export of these energy, raw materials, agriculture and low-end manufacturing products accounts for nearly 70% of Russian exports! This is really bad.

The squares that reflect the level of high-end manufacturing in Russia, such as green manufacturing such as gray-blue machinery and transportation manufacturing on the far right, add up to less than 7% of its export share.

In 20 16, the exchange rate of the ruble against the US dollar rose all the way, so I am afraid that the decline in Russian exports is not the pot of devaluation of the ruble, but that Russian exports rely heavily on energy exports such as oil and natural gas. If energy prices fall, Russia's exports will fall.

Russia is a gas station for nuclear weapons.

But you are a vast country, why are you hanging from a tree on the energy export? Has Russia really become a gas station for nuclear weapons?

The answer is yes.

Not to mention the proportion of high-end manufacturing in exports, that is, the contribution to the entire GDP is declining. The contribution rate of communications industry to GDP decreased from 10.7% in 2003 to 8.5% in 2006. Russia's participation in the international high-tech products market is only 0.35%- 1%. Even developing countries in Asia can't compare with it. The export of high-tech products only accounts for 2.3% of industrial exports, which is only equivalent to 32.9% in the United States and 32.8% in China.

Let's talk about investment In 20 15, Russian fixed capital investment decreased by 8.4%. 20 16 decreased by 4.8% in the first quarter, 3.9% in the second quarter, 0.3% in the third quarter and 2.3% in the first three quarters. Russia's investment has been negative growth, and it is really unreasonable to want economic growth.

In the depressed economic situation, people's income is also decreasing. In the first 16 months, the real disposable income of residents decreased by 5.3%, the corresponding consumption was also weak, and the retail trade also decreased by 5.3%. This is already a good performance. In the same period of 20 15, the retail trade volume decreased by 9.2%. The people are suffering from financial austerity.

Whether it is export, investment, consumption, or even people's living standards, Russia's economy is declining. Russian sauce, what's wrong with you?

What is the problem of Russian economy?

So don't blame the drop in oil prices. Who says that Russian manufacturing can't go from high-end to low-end, but can only be hung on the energy tree? Who is to blame for this?

This matter, the problem is in the first three rows, and the root is in the rostrum.

Russian manufacturing industry failed and high-tech industry did not develop, which is actually very abnormal.

The education rate of Russians is very high, and the rate of young people aged 25-34 receiving higher education reaches 54%, ranking fourth in the world. Young people are so great, they say, why can't they handle manufacturing?

The problem lies in the business environment in Russia. Russia's business environment is said to stifle enterprises and hinder investment.

How bad is the business environment in Russia? It is so bad that the net capital outflow reaches tens of billions of dollars every year. This is because people who make money in Russia want to transfer their money abroad as soon as possible, but there are too few foreign companies willing to invest in Russia, which shows that there are a lot of capital flight.

Therefore, even if Russian young people are smart, they can't show their skills without investment. Excellent people can only call for help and continue to sell oil and gas for a living.

One of the major problems in improving the business environment in Russia is that property rights are easily deprived and the rule of law is lacking. Entrepreneurs are often reluctant to innovate or expand their existing businesses, and they are still afraid of catching shadows.

When an enterprise grows bigger, it will be targeted by criminals and opportunists who have a strong relationship with the government, and then they will seize the property of the enterprise in a way called "asset plunder", which is terrible!

The typical "asset plunder" is that the perpetrators collude with the local government and courts to let the police arrest their coveted business owners on charges of false tax evasion or other economic crimes. In the process of detaining business owners, the perpetrators changed the property rights of business owners into their own hands by forging documents, and even sent armed thugs to actually control the target enterprises. After the detention ended and the business owner was released, he found that his assets were looted, but he could not get legal relief, so he had nothing. It is really tragic.

This crime of plundering property rights even alarmed Putin. He also had to admit that of the 200,000 cases of economic crimes investigated and dealt with in 2065,438+04, only 65,438+05% were convicted, and 83% were "asset plunder", with the purpose of depriving others of their enterprises by accusing them of economic crimes. He concluded: "The vast majority of people involved? .. harass, intimidate, rob and then release. "

However, this bad head was obviously opened by Putin. Whether it was deprivation of ownership or detention in legal proceedings, Putin did it first.

For example, during the nationalization of Bashi Oil Company, Yevtushenkov, the former major shareholder of Bashi Oil Company, was placed under house arrest and later released. The purpose of arresting Yevtushenkov seems to be to put pressure on the company. The purpose is to transfer the control of Bashi Oil Company to the government.

As a result, local corrupt elements and criminals collude with each other to deprive others of their enterprises by controlling economic crimes. In this case, the business environment in Russia will certainly not get better.

Finally, Putin will run for president for the fourth time. If nothing unexpected happens, he will be re-elected, but during his administration, Russia's business environment may not be substantially improved, and Russia can only continue to rely on the export of energy, agricultural products and raw materials. Maybe the oil price will rise and the ruble will not depreciate, but in this bad business environment, Russia's economy will only deteriorate gradually. Sooner or later, we will witness that China's GDP per capita exceeds that of Russian.