Joke Collection Website - Talk about mood - What is the best thing to buy in a bull market?
What is the best thing to buy in a bull market?
This is the biggest concern of all traders.
After years of stock market exploration, "boundless" (in fact, it has shrunk dramatically) turned out to be a classic symbol of many big bull stocks.
Here, first of all, make clear the technical difference between bull stocks and dark horses. Many friends confuse them.
Cattle are slow-paced, but firm and tenacious, and their perseverance is lasting. So we call stocks that can go on for a long time and have a huge overall increase as bull stocks.
Horses, swift and fast, are called dark horses, but they can only run quickly in a short distance. Once their physical strength is exhausted, they are foaming at the mouth. Therefore, we call the short-term and medium-term stocks in the stock market dark horse shares.
What we are talking about here is bull stocks that can go for a long time and last for more than a year.
When it comes to technical analysis, many people disagree, especially Monday morning quarterback.
Indeed, if a simple comparison is made according to the shape, indicators and other successful cases in the book, it is tantamount to drawing a tiger, and the probability of successful operation is low.
And most of those who study technical analysis are almost all.
However, as a professional technical trader, the core of technical analysis is "logic"!
Now, among the hundreds of stock market books in the bookcase behind, there are few about the logic of technical analysis, but more about the technical description of "images", such as old duck head, Huang Jinzhu, double gold fork and so on.
The so-called technical analysis is to make logical dialectics and judge the later trend of stock price according to the relationship between quantity and price and the market mechanism. Key words are three factors: quantity and price, market mechanism and logic.
If we only pay attention to quantity and price from the image, it is easy to fall into the strange circle of metaphysics
Let's talk about the technical relationship between bovine bones and boundless Buddha. If you don't like it, please make a detour. My post has never said anything uncivilized, but it still attracts bad words. If we do it again, it will be the second foul-mouthed Cai Dong. I just picked up my tail and slipped away.
Technically, the premise of becoming a bull stock is that the main trader holds a large number of chips, mostly highly controllable positions. Because the zombie chips on each stock are uncertain, the position is also uncertain. But it is basically above 50%. The big black horse like Shenche, which is not a bull stock but a band, is caused by the joint efforts of all parties and belongs to the category of "strong stocks", which does not belong to the nature of bull stocks we are talking about here.
After the main positions are opened, these bull stocks will rise or fall later, that is, the fluctuation of stock price will not use the chips of the opening period, but only use the trading funds to operate, which will form a "lock position". However, after locking the warehouse, because there are few chips flowing outside, the stock price can rise or fall with a small amount of funds, forming a situation of rising more and shrinking less, and the decline is extremely reduced.
Therefore, it is an important step to judge whether the main force is "locked in" after the large-scale opening of the main force, which is helpful to judge whether the latter can shrink (relative to the previous quantity and energy).
Here I want to give an example. Nature is a historical case. Please pay attention to technical judgment here. I'm talking about the market mechanism, which is a logical relationship. What you see is not only the graphics, but also the market principle behind it. And I am easy to understand, don't pretend to be profound, I will understand at a glance.
The above picture shows the technical trend of the former bull stock Shenzhen Eurofilm Technology Co., Ltd. lt after its first strong rise.
First of all, the stock is the "first wave" after a long period of decline, mostly in the form of stabbing yang. The long-term decline shows that the stock has no concern for the main funds. However, this wave of strong rebound is the process of the fund vigorously building positions or is the fund only doing band quotes?
Although we can logically judge from this wave of "continuous abundant energy" and "mostly stabbing the sun" that it is the fund's opening of positions, how can we judge that it is a bull stock in the later stage?
At this time, through the callback behind the stock price, the quantity can suddenly shrink, which is a serious and severe contraction. What is needed here is logic-the abundant amount in the early stage can double with the strength of the stock price, indicating that there is a strong operation of funds, but there is no continuous heavy volume in the band, and the stock price has not continued to rise. That is to say, the funds for this operation have no chance of going out, but still exist. So, is this the main capital suddenly shrinking into thin air?
Only the main force has locked the warehouse!
At this time, it is possible to bargain. When the stock price breaks through the triple top in the later period, it shows that our judgment is completely correct, and then we will officially add positions. Please look at the trend chart at that time and think while watching it.
This kind of volume can shrink when the stock price returns, which is very important. Compared with the previous continuous heavy volume heap, it must be understood. If quantified, it will shrink to a large amount of 10%-20% in the previous period.
The prerequisite is-after the long-term decline of the stock price, after the first strong fluctuation of the stock price, the stock price returns for the first time. At this time, the quantity can shrink seriously, and the main locking behavior can be judged. Lockup operation is mostly the technical premise of big bull stocks.
Let's take a look at the lock-up between Oriental Fortune and Hang Seng Electronics here-
Careful friends have noticed the "thorn yang" in the article. This technical form is as important as the concept of plate shock in the legend of rotten plate. If you like to play with brokers, you will look at the form of stabbing Yang Masukura before the surge of brokers last year. Let's take a look at the recent form of China's medium-term fund opening in 0996-from now on, you should like the continuous positive line with shadow lines, that is, stabbing the sun, and you will get a reward if you like it.
Okay, back to the beginning of the article,
What does the bull market buy?
It is such a big bull stock that after buying the main lock, the volume can shrink and the stock price rises steadily!
Not this concept and that concept!
Only this kind of bull stock can bring us excess returns in the bull market.
I'm stupid, or it's my treat. Please see this year's all-pass education of Daniu (not dark horse shares), Langma information and so on. They are all stocks that have risen sharply for a long time after the main lock.
Please don't just look at the form when you look at the big bull stocks on the weekend, but focus on the quantity and energy! Look at this very small turnover rate (it must be the turnover rate thrown by the major shareholder after holding the position, not the turnover rate on your stock software) and enjoy the operation mode that many bull stocks can make the stock price rise steadily.
Through the special relationship between quantity and price, and then through the market principle, to logic the future trend of stock price, this is the king of technical analysis!
Rather than the technical analysis in iconology. Let me give you an example of a golden column-
After the stock price is large, if the stock price is shallow and the fluctuation range is small (mostly in the form of a cross star), it shows that the main capital of the trader dares and is willing to take profits at a relatively high stock price and untie the chips. At this time, a large number of columns have the technical significance of judgment! Call it any position! Do you like LeTV Internet Cafe? Please go and see the retracement after the stock price rose at the end of last year, cross star! Many heavyweights are like this!
Entangled fans like to study this and that. In fact, Li Biao's research on the classic trading technology of Ian Technology focuses on the cross star retracement after the stock price is large, that is, the stock price retracement is shallow and the fluctuation range is small. This is the most important thing that Master Li Biao left us. Please be interested to take a closer look at this classic case stock, which I call the King's Cross. I was shocked by several daily limit, and I admire it.
In the same way, look at 600652, which makes us drool, and look at the cross star with minimal amplitude near Gao Qian before the stock price soared! There are countless such cases! The stock price volatility of strong stocks and bull stocks must be based on the opening and closing prices, not the highest and lowest prices. It is enough to know the time relationship of this market principle.
Because I am familiar with picture books since I was a child, I believe my expression is clear and simple.
In our technical analysis, we resolutely don't imitate the cat's technology and draw the tiger in a metaphysical way, but look at what is hidden behind it. We should try our best to find out what is behind it, which is the king of our study of stocks.
Because I can only do oral work, I can't actually do it (I have a bad heart and can't make money), so don't talk about me-so awesome, what's your rate of return this time! I'm just confident that my analysis still has rigorous logic, and you, it's important to refer to this logic, instead of coming to the forum to say goodbye to people, and don't make me feel embarrassed-I've already said that I just pay lip service and take the initiative to express my confession.
Let's talk briefly about the market-
This week's continuous plunge in the Shanghai Composite Index is based on-
1, weekly volume stagflation (but historical volume) Xiaoyang-shrinking cross star, please see the weekly line of Shanghai Composite Index after the plunge.
2. The daily line is a big drop after building a five-day sideways platform.
In other words, before the index plunged, the chips had been loose at a high level for a long time, and the technical form before the plunge was extremely important, which was also seriously ignored in the multi-person technical analysis! Therefore, this plunge is a decline in band arrangement, and Friday's rebound is only a rebound, which is a correction to the excessive decline, and will continue band arrangement afterwards. This time, the band fell, and one point in time and space was much larger than the market consolidation at the beginning of the year. Many traders who are stuck in stocks with soaring bands, alas, can't say it! Even if the latter rises to 6 thousand points and 10 thousand points, it has nothing to do with these people.
When the index fell in the later period, it was still pregnant with huge opportunities for individual stocks. The band arrangement of the index is the touchstone of bull stocks! In addition to the Belt and Road Initiative, high-speed rail, nuclear power and military industry, which concept plate is on the main board, pay attention to the big concept of the capital market this year! It's not completely fried. The related stocks only rose moderately in the band, and there was never continuous sunshine in the band. This is not to say that Daikin Finance will play an important role in the later period, but it is far less than this concept.
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