Will the war affect oil prices?

If the war takes place in a big energy-consuming country, the oil price may fall, but it is more likely to rise. If the war occurs in an important oil transportation line or major oil-producing area, then the oil price will definitely skyrocket.

Oil price refers to the price of international or domestic refined oil.

Since 24: 00 on March 17, 2020, domestic gasoline and diesel prices have been reduced by1KLOC-0/5 yuan and 975 yuan per ton respectively. 165438+ Since124: 00 on October 5th, domestic gasoline has dropped 1940 yuan/ton, and diesel has dropped 1870 yuan/ton.

Since 24: 00 on June 28th, 20021year, the domestic gasoline and diesel prices have increased by 225 yuan and 2 15 yuan respectively. From 24: 00 on July 26th, domestic gasoline will be reduced by 100 yuan per ton, and diesel will be reduced by 95 yuan per ton. At 24: 00 on September 18, China raised the price limit of gasoline and diesel, and raised 90 yuan and 85 yuan respectively per ton of gasoline, which was equivalent to an increase of 0.07 yuan per liter for No.92 and No.95 gasoline. 65438.1From 24: 00 on October 9, the domestic gasoline and diesel prices increased by 345 yuan and 330 yuan respectively per ton. 65438 From 24: 00 on1October 22nd, domestic gasoline will be raised to 300 yuan per ton, and diesel will be raised to 290 yuan per ton. Since 24: 00 on 202 1,1,1,domestic gasoline and diesel prices have been reduced in 95 yuan and 90 yuan respectively.

On June 7, 2022, gasoline No.65438, No.92 and No.95 is expected to be raised by 240 yuan/ton. On June 5438+1October 17, the domestic gasoline and diesel prices increased by 345 yuan per ton and 330 yuan respectively. National average: 92 # gasoline is raised by 0.27 yuan per liter; No.95 gasoline is raised by 0.29 yuan per liter; No.0 diesel oil is raised by 0.28 yuan per liter. On February 17, domestic gasoline and diesel prices increased by 2 10 yuan and 200 yuan respectively. On the national average, 92 # gasoline, 95 # gasoline and 0 # diesel increased by 0. 16 yuan, 0. 17 yuan and 0. 17 yuan per liter respectively.

The sharp rise in oil prices should be said to be only a market panic, and the structural supply crisis is far from coming. Although the situation in Libya has been confusing. But judging from the whole oil supply structure in the world, Libya's share is not large. The main problem is that the oil price itself is on the inflation track. The bigger reason is speculation. "

Judging from the energy supply at this time, it is more global. In the past, there were several oil crises near the Persian Gulf. Today, Latin America, West Africa and Eastern Europe have all become new energy sources. In 2009, Russia has surpassed Saudi Arabia to become the world's largest producer of crude oil. The share of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in global crude oil production has also dropped from 565,438+0% in the 1970s to 40% today.