The price of wheat is still falling, the price of corn is falling, but the price of pigs is "soaring". What happened?

After a brief rebound, the prices of wheat and corn fell again. In some areas, the price of wheat has dropped below 1.50 yuan/kg, and the price of corn has dropped below 1.40 yuan/kg.

During the period of falling food prices, the price of pigs rose sharply, and the slaughter price of pigs in some areas has exceeded 12 yuan/kg.

Under normal circumstances, food prices fall, feed costs fall, and pig prices should also fall. Why is there a big increase? In this article, the little helper will talk about these things in detail, and everyone will have the answer after reading it.

The price of wheat is still falling.

Since the end of June, the price of wheat in the market has been declining continuously. When it first entered July, it rose briefly for a day or two, and then it continued to fall. As of July 5, the price of wheat in many places is still falling.

The oversupply of wheat in the market is the main factor for the decline.

Let's look at a data first. According to statistics, from the harvest of new wheat this year to June 25th, all kinds of grain enterprises in the main producing areas have purchased 24.56 million tons of wheat, an increase of 5 1.7 million tons year-on-year.

Explain that the acquisition progress is relatively fast. After the end of June, the demand decreased relatively and the purchase price decreased.

In addition, since the end of June, schools have been on holiday. In addition, July is also the off-season of flour. In the case of sufficient pre-purchase and low operating rate of flour enterprises, the acquisition speed will be slowed down and the purchase price will be lowered.

For traders, the high temperature and heavy rainfall in July increased the storage difficulty of wheat and accelerated the delivery speed.

At the same time, some farmers with poor storage conditions will also be affected by this factor, and they will no longer be in property hoarding, but will be sold at a suitable price.

The latest quotations of flour enterprises in different regions (for reference only), Shandong, Yucheng Wudeli 1.56 yuan/kg, Weifang Ye Xiang Flour 1.59 yuan/kg, Dezhou Yihai Kerry 1.552 yuan/kg, Huatong Noodle 1.555 yuan/kg.

Hebei, White Elephant Wudeli 1.575 yuan/kg, Handan Wudeli 1.563 yuan/kg, Shenzhou Wudeli 1.556 yuan/kg; In Henan, Zhoukou Wudeli 1.555 yuan/kg, Xinxiang Wudeli 1.57 yuan/kg, Suiping Wudeli 1.56 yuan/kg; Jiangsu area, Suqian Wudeli 1.545 yuan/kg; Jinsha River in Anhui 1.555 yuan/kg; Shaanxi Xianyang Wudeli 1.595 yuan/kg.

Corn is sluggish and generally falls.

Corn won't go up in July. In fact, since June, the corn market has been in shock and the market is depressed. The expected price of 1.5 yuan/kg has been delayed, and some deep processing enterprises continue to lower the purchase price. There is an increasing trend for enterprises whose quotation is lower than 1.4 yuan/kg.

From the point of view of some enterprises, it is necessary to enter the mid-year maintenance stage in July in order to better meet the subsequent listing of new corn.

During the maintenance period, if the operating rate is reduced, the purchase amount of corn will be reduced and the price will not be too high.

As far as feed enterprises are concerned, if corn is expensive, they will choose wheat to replace it. When the price of wheat is higher than that of corn, they will choose rice instead. At present, the price of rice is lower than that of wheat and corn. In order to reduce the cost of farming, they don't actively buy corn.

In terms of weather factors, it is difficult for farmers and traders to store corn in July when it enters the hot and rainy season. It can be seen from the increase of vehicles in front of some deep processing enterprises that some corn is sold by force, and if it is moldy, the price will only be lower.

The latest quotations of deep processing enterprises in various regions (for reference only) are: Shandong, Qixing Lemon 1.494 yuan/kg, Shouguang Golden Corn 1.447 yuan/kg, Binzhou Jin Hui 1.445 yuan/kg, and Chengwu Dida 1.445 yuan/kg.

Guangyu starch 1.4 17 yuan/kg in North China, Derui 1.42 yuan/kg in Hebei, Huaxing 1.49 yuan/kg in Mengzhou, Luzhou 1.36 yuan/kg in Shaanxi, and Julong Bio/kloc-0.

In Northeast China, Suihua Haotian 1.35 yuan/kg, Liangjing Longjiang 1.345 yuan/kg, Heilongjiang Chengfu 1.36 yuan/kg, Jilin Boda 1.35 yuan/kg, and COFCO Elm 1.34 yuan/kg.

The pig price is "crazy"

Pork prices have risen sharply recently. Because prices have risen too fast, the National Development and Reform Commission has also held a meeting to ensure supply and stabilize prices.

According to relevant analysis, there are three main reasons for the sharp rise in pig prices:

First, some farmers are irrational and reluctant to sell.

Everyone has the psychology of selling down and not selling up, not only the price of pigs, but also other commodities. The lower the market price, the stronger the willingness to sell, fearing that the subsequent decline will be too large.

The more the market price rises, the less it sells, thinking that the price can be higher.

In this case, because the market pig price is in the rising area, some farmers are reluctant to sell, which leads to the continuous rise of market price.

Second, the phenomenon of secondary fattening has increased.

The price of pigs was relatively low some time ago. Some farmers say that they have been struggling to feed for several months. Instead of not making money or losing money, it is better to continue raising pigs. Although the cost of raising pigs will increase every day, there will still be profits after the price of pigs rises.

In this case, the supply of live pigs in the market has decreased and the price has increased.

Thirdly, some media fabricated and spread the information of price increase, rendering the atmosphere of rising pig prices in the market, further increasing farmers' reluctance to sell. In the case of decreasing market supply and undiminished demand, the price of pigs has also increased.

The latest live pig quotes in different regional markets (live pig quotes, not pork quotes, for reference only), East China 1 1.9- 13.0 yuan/kg, Central China1.5-12.0 yuan/kg, South China. Northeast 1 1.8- 12.2 yuan/kg, northwest1.2-12.2 yuan/kg, southwest11.2.

Recently, the price of pigs has risen sharply, and when it breaks out in the later period, the price may drop sharply, which is not conducive to the long-term healthy development of the market.

Therefore, the relevant departments will strengthen supervision, prohibit the occurrence of price fraud and promote the benign and long-term healthy development of the market.

Ask everyone, is the local price of wheat, corn and pork rising or falling?