How strong is the 2020-2 1 season library, and why can it always score high?

Let's share an answer from an author in Zhihu. I wanted to answer it myself, but I found that the author said the same thing as me, and it was very detailed!

In the recent NBA, the regular season has gradually entered the final stage. Under the extremely tight schedule this season, the players' physical strength and health have been overdrawn. In the face of the upcoming playoffs, all the top teams have taken a break for their stars, with minor injuries and great support-the Jazz also arranged the absence of Gobert and Mitchell, and Simmons and Tobias Harris of the 76ers also sat down. The Nets, which are relatively dependent on the stars, have seen the hidden dangers of boosting the use of stars. Harden has been absent continuously, and Durant was injured again after his comeback.

At this time, the game always seems boring and lacks attention. The warriors on the edge of the playoffs, with their single-core characteristics, have absolutely no reason to take a break, no matter from the subjective mentality or objective requirements. Curry's performance has also become the hottest topic in the league.

How good was Curry's performance throughout April? Look at his data column, everything is obvious. Hundred rounds score 1 15.6, the round occupancy rate is 36.6%, the true hit rate is 75%, the assist rate is only 44.5%, the average three-pointers per game 14.3, and the hit rate is 50.3%. In contrast, Curry's average performance last season was only 12. 1, 43. 1%, 100 rounds13.5, 66.5%, 32% and 46.5%. We can see more things from the assist rate-the season assist rate is 28.9%, and the assist error rate is 1.8, while in the last ten games, it is only 23%+ 1.08.

In other words, in the last ten games, Curry played a simpler game-partially giving up passing and passing, and focusing more on individual shooting and scoring. Judging from the results of the grading link, Curry's "Kailun" model has indeed produced a very good-even "amazing"-combination effect of output and efficiency.

However, Curry's recent magical play is really the long-awaited "holding the ball to develop" attack as the correct way to open? Judging from another part of the data, it is far from it. With guards occupying 0-2 feet and 2-4 feet, Curry averaged 6.9% and 4 1.7% shooting percentage and 3% and 2 1.2% three-pointers, respectively. In the last ten games, Curry has reached 7% and 38.7%, and the three-pointers are 2.7% and. In terms of the number of touches, Dreamcatcher Green touched the ball 74. 1 time in the last ten games, and received the ball 38 times in the previous game, which was higher than the season average of 72.3 times and 35.6 times. The average number of passes per game increased from 6 1.3 times in the season to 6 1.9 times.

In other words, in these ten games, Curry did not actually encounter more urgent defensive pressure, but the projection environment was more relaxed and optimized. For the "Curry Multiplayer" that we are used to this season, this is actually very inconsistent with the opponent's consistent defensive strategy against Curry when holding the ball. While getting the optimized space, Dream-Chasing Green has also obtained more qualifications for combing the attack on the basis of the already high weight of ball control organization-always keeping the number of catches second in the team and the number of passes first in the team.

To a certain extent, it is reasonable for Dreamcatcher Green to help Curry's recent performance. Of course, what he did was the contribution of the peak warrior. The key to weakening the well-known negative effects of dream pursuit and highlighting the positive effects is the rotation adjustment brought by Wiseman reimbursement. Wiseman's departure made the disadvantage in the dream-chasing space diluted by the adjustment of the rotation personnel, and his passing function was maintained. Comprehensive analysis has given Curry and Warriors more support bonus than before. Ironically, it's true.

In the eyes of fans, the existence of dream-chasing Green seems to be an obstacle to Curry's "opening". There is no other reason, just because there are no three points and you can't score, so you can't open the so-called "space" that Curry focuses on. Indeed, in these ten games, the personal attack of Dreamcatcher Green showed no signs of improvement. The round share is only 14.6%, and the real hit rate is as low as 5 1.4%. He shot 2.5 3-pointers per game and hit 25%. However, the combination of Dream-Chasing Green and Curry actually provided Curry with an extra offensive effect-in the whole season, when Dream-Chasing Green went out, Curry scored 39.6 points in the 0/00 round, and the two-point and three-point assists were 23% and 5 1% respectively, with a real hit rate of 58.7%. Dream green came on, and Curry advanced directly to 43 points, Curry. Even without Curry, the attack bonus of chasing dreams is definitely positive for the whole team. The team's real hit rate is 54.3% to 60.9% when going up and down, 100 round score 10. 1. And in the ten games in which Curry's firepower was in full swing, the score of chasing dreams in 100 rounds was even as high as 1 18 438+0, which was even higher than Curry himself.

So how does Dreamcatcher Green provide bonus for Curry when the personal offensive ability has not changed much? How to provide bonuses for the Warriors? This is what we often say-passing organization.

At the peak of Warrior 2.0 era, dream catcher Green often got a disgraceful comment: dealing cards at the top of the arc, directing traffic, giving the ball to the superstar and scoring. Anyone can do it. However, is this really the case? This season, the Warriors' offensive resources are by no means strong. In the round of 100, they got 1 10.2 points, ranking only 20th in the league. Curry averaged 3 1.4 points per game, and the second scorer Wilkins got18./kloc-0. In such a team, the dream catcher Green's assist rate remains at 33.9%, and the assist error rate is 2.9.

In the last ten games, due to Wiseman's reimbursement and Ubray's injury, the Warriors' regular lineup has further changed into Curry+Dreamcatcher Green+Bazemore+Rooney+Wiggins, playing for 75 minutes, while Bazemore scored only 1, 0 1 in a hundred rounds, and the offensive intensity has further decreased. Under such circumstances, Dream Chasing still maintained an assist rate of 32.4% and an assist error rate of 2.7. In his previous season, even if Durant+Curry+Clay Thompson got together, after a season of running-in, he experienced the perfect season of 17- 18. In the most authorized lineup in theory, the dream catcher Green's assist rate was only 28.6%.

Of course, this is not to say that dream catcher Green's passing ability has become stronger this year than at his peak. The improvement of assist rate is directly related to the improvement of the correct rate of holding the ball and the increase of organizational weight. This season, due to the configuration of the Warriors' lineup, Dream-chasing Green, as one of the few members who can hold the ball and command, has gained more priority than the peak of the Trinuclear era-17-18 season. Based on the rich resources of holding the ball and the strong configuration of general conduction ability, the Warriors established a system of all-pass and all-end, during which dream-chasing Green organized the court to be even.

But what we can see is the excellent level of Dream-chasing Green in "digesting more organizational rights"-17-18 season. Because of the scattered ball rights, the dream-chasing assist rate is 28.6% and the assist error rate is 2.5. By this season, the right to organize is more concentrated on him and Curry, although the error rate also started from 22.5%.

When getting more organizational tasks, the dream catcher Green can digest and turn it into positive energy, instead of dealing with more balls. The higher the proportion of mistakes, the higher it will hit the ceiling. In fact, the evaluation of the ability to digest the ball right and combine production and efficiency is not only an individual score, but also has similar logic in passing and organization. And dream-chasing Green is obviously an organizer who can break through the upper limit of production in passing and handle more golfers. This season, Dream-Chasing Green passed the ball with potential assists of 14.2 times, and the conversion rate of passing assists was 14%, ranking first in the team.

This shows that, under the condition that teammates' passing ability is generally insufficient, when holding the ball in hand, Dream Pursuit Green is a person who can create direct opportunities for teammates and deliver the team's scores better than Curry-of course, this is limited to passing the ball and feeding the cake. And dream-chasing Green's passing ability is by no means as simple as authorizing a superstar and mixing assists. Even in the face of a group of teammates who are good at overlapping fields and are inefficient, he can still feed enough opportunities for Curry and everyone else to get help.

This season, a very serious problem in the Warriors' offensive configuration is the high overlap of the end areas. At the same time, the ability to handle passing is not good. This season, Ubray's shooting in the basket 10FT accounted for 49.7%, Kevin Rooney 78.3%, Wiggins slightly better, 39.5%. In the last ten games, Bazemore, who has been reused, accounted for 37.9% in the basket, and toscano Anderson accounted for 67.5%. It can be seen that in addition to the dream-chasing Greene, whether it is Ubray, who is often used by the Warriors, Rooney and Anderson recently, or even Bazemore, who has three points, 46.6% of his shots are in the basket. At the other extreme, another commonly used area of these role players is three-pointers-Ubray accounts for 39.2%, Bazemore accounts for 46.6% and Anderson accounts for 42.3%, but Rooney and Wiseman do not have this attribute.

This leads to a very serious problem: it is very easy to judge and grasp the individual scoring method of the role players in the attack. Three-pointers+steals/empty cuts without the ball are the main contents. As far as three-pointers are concerned, Ubray can only hit 1.9 with a shooting percentage of 3 1.5%, Bazemore hit two goals with a shooting percentage of 40.6%, and Anderson hit with a shooting percentage of 1.3%. Although the latter two are efficient, they are not fatal in output and belong to the output level that can be abandoned strategically. What opponents really need to pay attention to is that these characters have the same scoring tendency in the efficient area.

On the other hand, the ability of these players to form linkage by self-conduction after getting the ball is far from enough. Ubray's assist rate is only 6.6%, the second attack Wiggins' assist rate 10.9%, the error rate 10.4%, Bazemore12.1+16.7%, and Wiseman's 5%+/kloc. Except Wiggins, almost no one has the ability to lead the team with the ball and digest the rising weight of passing. Wiggins, in particular, as the second main attack of the Warriors this season, has a fair and true hit rate of 57% and a ball pick-and-roll ratio of 23.8%, but he scored only 0.95 points in each round, plus fewer assists and low passing tendency. He averaged only 6.2 and 4.3 passes to dream catchers Green and Curry, and only 1.4 passes to Curry's mobile phone court, which was not excellent.

Therefore, when Curry holds the ball, the opponent can double-team him unscrupulously, which is of course due to the so-called lack of pulling space caused by the limitation of teammates' personal output, but on the other hand, it is also due to the lack of teammates' conduction. Under the combination of the two aspects, even if Curry tries his best to spread the word and teammates get the chance to handle the ball, they tend to attack by themselves rather than grudgingly, and the only thing really worth defending in the attack mode is the attack frame.

In this way, the opponent only needs to allocate a part of the defenders to contract, pass the ball to the catcher in Curry to keep his attention, give up the non-players in time and turn to the catcher to interfere. At this time, of course, opponents can try to pack in the library without worrying about the lack of defensive resources. This season, 34.5% of Bazemore's shots are three-pointers in large space, while Anderson's is 32. 1%. Even Wiggins, the second attacker who needs to defend the Warriors in principle, has 55.5% of the big space. It can be seen that only relying on the ability of these players, even Wiggins, is not enough to attract the attention of opponents, thus creating space for Curry, especially the one with the ball.

Curry's no-ball link can make him effectively avoid the attack and play an excellent passing and receiving efficiency, or conversely, create the threat of no-ball attack through excellent passing and receiving, thus creating a relaxed ball control environment for his teammates. This season, Curry's catch hit rate has reached 44.9%, and it has risen to 5 1% in the last ten games, which fully meets such conditions.

The only thing missing is a passer, who uses Curry's defensive containment in the off-the-ball link to accurately send the ball to the position of defensive omission, so that individual players who attack the role players who are easy to judge and defend can get opportunities. On the other hand, even if Curry holds the ball, the crazy attack on him will make the defense in other positions have loopholes. What is needed at this time is also a passer who is well-read and defensive, and can pass the ball quickly after receiving the pass from Curry.

This is the reason why Dream Grimm must exist. Of course, his personal attack is seriously inadequate, but only he, as a passer as good as Curry, can handle the second pass when he holds the ball in Curry, organize himself when he doesn't have the ball in Curry, and turn the defensive blockade and opponent's turning hole made by Curry into a real "catch-catch-score" instead of "empty" to the maximum extent.

When Curry holds the ball, Dreamcatcher Green can cooperate with Curry in a high position. Although he can't change his opponent's attack on Curry, he can make a quick choice through Curry's roll call on the opponent's big man (defensive opponent) and the change of the opponent's big man's defense (except the Blazers, no one will squat in front of Curry)-feed the ball to Curry at the moment when the opponent squeezes the cover before the attack is completed (this season, Curry averaged 9.5% for the dream catcher Green's shot to Curry. Similarly, when Curry holds the ball and unfolds, Dream catcher Green can also cooperate with Curry's choice, respond when Curry feels defensive tendency and returns, think of the same place as Curry, quickly distribute the ball to the weak side, and seize the opportunity when defense is more important than Curry. At the same time, the dream-chasing Green can also hold the ball by himself and disassemble the cooperation with Curry's strong team. Instead, while Curry is running without the ball to attract the attack, he can find defensive loopholes and pass a wonderful pass.

It can be said that in today's warriors, only the dream-chasing Green's pass can make Curry's presence/absence of the ball change the threat of defense and truly quantify the final result of the attack. At the peak of the Warriors, this seems to be slightly secondary because of the rich offensive resources, but at present, when the Warriors' offensive areas overlap and rely heavily on cutting into the basket and feeding cakes online, this is very valuable.

This is also the reason why Curry's offensive performance improved after Wiseman's reimbursement in April. With the increase of playing time of Anderson and Rooney, the Warriors gained more positive resources, played down the side effects of dream catcher Green and increased his positive role. In fact, this season, Dreamcatcher Green partnered with Anderson or Rooney, and the effect has been good. When the dream catcher Green and Anderson partnered, the team scored 9.9 points in the 100 round, compared with Rooney's 14.3 points and Wiseman's embarrassing -9.8 points. If the threat of chasing dreams is completely negative, then, under the collocation of any player, he should be negative, but obviously not. The only combination he really doesn't deserve is wiseman.

In fact, this is also a very understandable thing. Rooney, who knows the inside function of the Warriors system, can further lubricate and conduct the Warriors, and can complete the cover with or without the ball. He is also very sensitive when chasing dreams and getting the ball in Curry. This season, Rooney averaged 3. 1 assists per game, ranking first in the team, chasing Green's dream 2.9 times, and second, Wiseman only had 2.4 times. In terms of assist rate, Rooney also has 14.6%, while Wiseman only has 5%. In this way, Rooney's cover for Curry, cover for Ubray or Wiggins, Rooney's crossing and Rooney's end can all make Curry's receiving environment, teammates' participation in the offensive environment and the team's use of Curry's pull better. Although neither he nor chasing dreams is a narrow three-point space, it can make Curry score more and his teammates score more under Curry's buff. What the Warriors need most is not only the offensive scorer, but also the passer, so that the opportunity line created by Curry can really be brought into play.

The collocation of Anderson and Dreamcatcher Green is logically simpler. He doesn't have Rooney's overall situation, and his playing style is simplified to three-point projection in space. However, a single spatial attribute can empty the inside line and complete the response, which is also a necessary condition for Curry to run around the bottom line and attack teammates in the restricted area. The emergence of more opportunity lines also facilitates the transmission of dream catchers' green. Without Dream Green, Anderson can't get the ball and space when Curry is attacked, but the emergence of Dream Green can solve this problem.

It is not the right way to build a system to accumulate offensive development resources in absolute sense. As far as the warriors are concerned, they can't come up with their peak configuration and send five people who are good at conduction and attack. Forcibly piling up scorers will only stop the flow of the ball. Moreover, the warriors' attackers also have shortcomings in the richness and absolute strength of means, just monotonous three-way scorers or attackers. Personal attack is easy to judge, inefficient, short pass and easy to judge defense, so the only player's library is completely exposed to the attack. It can be said that if Curry can't catch up with his dreams and can't increase the attack points, he will be seriously doubled, which is determined by the strength of the warrior configuration and is "team-oriented and monotonous".

This is also the reason why Curry "the more his teammates pull their hips, the more they should avoid holding the ball all the time": too exposed defense, no need for the ball to relieve the pressure, or teammates respond to the pressure, as long as one of them can accurately judge the situation and give him or others a chance. This is also indispensable for this warrior at present-he can't throw, but what he can throw is not more attractive to defense than he is, so his passing can at least take advantage of his opponent's attack on Curry to deliver accurate opportunities for these teammates with passive attacks and overlapping areas, and at the same time, Curry can quickly receive the pass when passing the pick-and-roll point to Rooney/Dreamcatcher.

The team didn't handle the ball enough, and the attack was single, so the defensive pressure with the ball in Curry was great and needed to be relieved without the ball. Teammates who attack alone also need the organizer to exert the gravity in the warehouse, so that they can get the opportunity ball directly, instead of holding the ball without it in the garage. If there is a dream-chasing, then the Warriors will have people who make balls for these players who have overlapping personal attacks and pass the ball mediocre, so that they can really play the environment created by the containment in the library, which in turn will add to the blockage in Curry, instead of Curry. Even if the environment is created, the people who handle the ball will just pass the ball badly, or attack themselves, and the way will be seen through. No one can pass it to the position, and no matter how many mediocre attackers are, it is not enough to relieve the defensive pressure in Curry.

It can even be said that Curry's holding of the ball is more conditional when chasing dreams and playing ball-when the opponent needs to worry about the passing opportunity of hand passing after chasing dreams and over-attacking, and no longer thinks that "Curry's teammates are not good at handling the ball", Curry's pressure will be reduced. In the last ten games, Curry has increased dribbling and holding the ball every round, from 4.2 seconds in the season to 4.5 seconds at a time. But at the same time, as mentioned above, the defensive pressure he got was optimized-holding the ball under relatively loose pressure instead of holding the ball with a single core.

This is an example of the role of chasing dreams. On the one hand, he can judge between Curry and his teammates when he holds the ball, and choose the route according to Curry's containment force, so that Curry can get the opportunity ball when the roll call is successful, which also drives the efficiency of his teammates. On the other hand, his hand-passing ability has improved his teammates' offensive quality. Because of overlapping areas and lack of cohesion, it is easy to judge, which makes opponents afraid to double-pack the ball in Curry and increases the holding time in Curry.

Rooney can further enrich the quality of passing and covering, and Anderson can provide space, which are indispensable for chasing dreams. This combination is very reasonable. Wiseman's problem is that he lacks the above two items at the same time, which is only the product of being forcibly cultivated and reused by the warriors. He cooperated with the dream catcher for a long time, blocked the space, depressed the offensive resources, and lacked team lubrication and teammates' opportunity delivery, so that the shortcomings of the dream catcher's limited attack that could not attract defense could not be neutralized by the team, because the attack was monotonous and more and more serious. Such a A Duo will naturally have a negative impact. These requirements are still too high for him

Objectively speaking, Wiseman's ten absences and the appearance of Anderson and Rooney neutralized the disadvantage of dream catcher Green and increased his advantage, which largely constituted the important reason for the outbreak of Curry.

Of course, dream catcher Green also has problems. If the Warriors can have a stronger offensive configuration, Curry can enter a simpler offensive mode, whether it is personal attack or passing, or even a center who can be separated and centered. However, as far as the current warriors' personal attack and passing are not good enough, chasing dreams at least ensures Curry's relatively loose pressure and the maximization of Curry's pull in harsh environments.

However, we should also see the limitations of many opponents in recent games: the only Heat that didn't squat and call the roll, the Warriors scored countless points inside, and Butler and Ariza's double-three cooperation protection frame was obviously not as good as Claude's. The 76ers even lack the most suitable pick-and-roll combination Simmons in the defensive library, which makes Embiid infinitely exposed before holding the ball.

Curry's outbreak is very strong, and this state can almost make him solve most of the midstream teams by himself. However, the imperfect allocation of resources to catch opponents may also be the addition of Curry's personal ability, and the positive effect of organizing the strong to pursue dreams is greater than the limit of negative effect.