Who can talk about the economic development trend of China in the next five or ten years?

In recent ten years, China's economic aggregate has increased by 200%. However, after two years of inflation, the excessive price increase was restrained by the national fiscal policy, and the 20 1 1 European debt crisis affected and spread, so the economic growth rate declined again.

Up to now, the output of coal, steel, cotton, cement, textiles and electronic products produced in China ranks first in the world. In recent years, China's banking, insurance and other service industries have made great progress, and the network economy, knowledge economy, cultural industry and mass media have made rapid progress. China is one of the three largest economies in the world except the United States and Europe. At present, China ranks second in economic aggregate. Over the past 30 years of reform and opening up in China, social wealth has increased rapidly, and China's foreign exchange reserves have reached 3.2 trillion. By 2020, China will become the largest economy in the world, thus building a well-off country and reaching the peak stage of market economy.

At the same time, the personal wealth of ordinary residents has also been greatly improved, people's housing is spacious, and private cars have soared.

China's economic aggregate has further increased. In terms of social and political system and cultural life, democracy and legal system have been further improved, political life has been further enlightened, and cultural life has become more colorful. However, it goes without saying that the income level of China people is very different, and the gap between the rich and the poor is getting bigger and bigger. More than 80% of low-income groups have low wages and live in poverty, while 20% of high-income owners spend money lavishly and are obsessed with money.

In the second quarter, China's economic growth rate was 7.8%, which fell below 8.0% for the first time in eight years. The index of manufacturing managers dropped to 47.5% in the first few months and returned to 50% in September. At present, a moderate recovery has started from the bottom of the growth rate, and China's economy will continue to maintain rapid growth in the next decade, with the growth rate fluctuating between 7.5% and 9.8%.

Prior to this, China's economic growth slowed down due to the impact of the European debt crisis and the central bank's efforts to control excessive price increases, which led to a decline. The prices of coal, steel and cement continued to fall, the price level declined, the social electricity consumption decreased, the export volume decreased, the market demand was not strong, the sales volume in the commodity market fell sharply, the prices fell, the factory operating rate was insufficient, and the manufacturing enterprises suffered large-scale losses. Some of them even earn a small profit.

The economic growth rate is expected to stabilize from the end of September 10. As time goes on, the signs of economic recovery will become more and more obvious. The purchasing managers' index of manufacturing industry rose from 47.5% in August to 49.8% in September, and the growth rate of export volume returned to more than 9.0% in last month, but the economic growth rate in the third quarter was only 7.6%.

The next two or three years will be a recovery period for the economy. In the future, the domestic economic policy and monetary policy will be more stable, and the future economic development pattern will not be ups and downs, but will show a steady growth trend.

With the development of China's market economy and the adjustment of economic structure, the position and development potential of various industries in social development are also undergoing subtle changes and adjustments. The growing social demand of some industries has promoted the vigorous development of these industries and become the leading industries for future social development. There is still much room for new materials, new energy, low-carbon economy, energy conservation and environmental protection, and sustainable development.

We will continue to adjust the industrial structure, which points to: 1, upgrade the industrial structure to increase the scientific and technological content; 2. Gradually phase out backward production capacity; 3. Enhance the core competitiveness of enterprises; 4. Further start the application of high-tech achievements; 5. Vigorously develop new technologies, new materials and new energy sources; 6. Vigorously develop independent national brands, and further improve the market share and appeal of independent brands.

At present, China is in the late stage of the primary stage of market economy, and there will be great room for economic and cultural development. The rural population of China surpassed the urban population for the first time, and the level of urbanization has been greatly improved. Looking forward to the next decade, China will maintain a high economic growth rate and is moving towards the goal of a well-off society, but the next year will be a recovery period after the economic growth slows down.

In addition, China will vigorously develop cultural industries. In addition to the investment of state capital and the participation of private capital, cultural undertakings will strive to achieve multi-channel, diversified and diversified development. Animation has just formed a preliminary industry in China. At present, the popularity of computers and mobile phones makes it easier for people to get information and communicate. At the same time, people's cultural consumption and cultural thoughts tend to be superficial and fast-food, ignoring long-term and valuable ideological and cultural achievements.

Prior to this, under the influence of the European debt crisis, China faced the pressure of deflation, and its economic growth slowed down or even declined. The market price has fallen for five months in a row. During the year, the reserve ratio was lowered once, and the deposit and loan interest rates were lowered. However, it began to improve at the end of August and early September, and began to pick up from the bottom of the growth rate. Next year will be better than this year, but the mode of economic growth will not be greatly improved.

China is the second largest economy, and its national strength has been further enhanced. China is rising peacefully, but it is still in the late primary stage of market economy development, and the national productivity and per capita GDP are still very low. In the long run, China's economy will maintain a high economic growth rate, and the growth rate will be around 8% in the next decade. By 2020, China will surpass the United States and Europe and become the largest economy in the world. At present, only the economic growth rate is slowing down. In the next three to ten years, China's economy will maintain rapid growth, and it is moving towards a well-off society. By 2020, China's economic aggregate will at least double.