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Talking about mathematical codes
x =[0. 1 1 0.49 0.50 0.23 0.27 0.02-0.02 0.26-0.25 0.08 ...
0.52 0. 13 -0.0 1 0.52 0.57 0.0 1 0.32 -0. 15 0.45 0.07 0.66 ...
0.58 0.5 1 0.53 0.49 0.38 0.33 0.29 0.32 0.03 0.39];
Long format; % Set the calculation accuracy
If length (x (:,1)) =1%determines the input matrix, if it is not a one-dimensional column matrix, transpose it.
x = x’;
end
N = length (x); % take the sample size of input data.
z = 0;
For i= 1:n%, the cumulative value is calculated and assigned to the matrix be.
z=z+x(i,);
be(i,)= z;
end
The original sequence is shifted in parallel for i=2:n%.
y(i- 1,)=x(i,);
end
Calculate the data in the first column of data matrix B for i= 1:n- 1%.
c(i,)=-0.5*(be(i,)+be(i+ 1,);
end
Calculate the data in the second column of data matrix B for j= 1:n- 1%.
e(j,)= 1;
end
The data matrix b is constructed for i= 1:n- 1%.
B(i, 1)=c(i,);
B(i,2)=e(i,);
end
alpha = inv(B ' * B)* B ' * y; % calculation parameter matrix
For i= 1:n+ 1% Calculate the cumulative series of estimated values of data. If it is predictable, change n+ 1 to n+m+ 1.
ago(i,:=(x( 1,:)-alpha(2,:)/alpha( 1,:)*exp(-alpha( 1,:)(i- 1))+alpha(2,:)/alpha( 1,:);
end
var( 1,)=ago( 1,)
For i= 1:n% If n is changed to n+m- 1, the last m- 1 values can be predicted.
var(i+ 1,:)=ago(i+ 1,:)-ago(i,:); % of the estimated value, and calculate the next prediction.
end
For i= 1:n
error(i,)=var(i,)-x(i,); % calculation residual
end
C=std (error) /std(x)% Call the standard deviation function of the statistical toolbox to calculate the ratio of the variance after the test.
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