Bye, cow! The price of pigs has skyrocketed for five consecutive days. 15 the price of pigs in provinces and cities is 9, and the price of pigs in Guangdong will be 10.

Swish, the pig price is just like "rocket flying to the sky", or "one arrow and five stars rising", which makes farmers happy from ear to ear.

Today, pig prices in many places in the north and south are once again red, and the crazy surge in pig prices is also remarkable. At present, the pig prices in the 26 provinces and cities monitored have entered the "Eight Times" in an all-round way. The pig prices in 15 provinces and cities have broken 9, and those in Guangdong Province have entered "10", which seems to have broken 10.

The pig price market is not just talk, but an established fact.

From the end of March to the end of June this year, the overall price of live pigs in China showed an upward trend.

Monitoring data show that as of June 23, the price of live pigs has fluctuated for three months, with the largest increase exceeding 45%. In the second quarter, the domestic pig market is still in the off-season, but the short-term increase of more than 45% completely exceeds market expectations. Through price feedback, it can be confirmed that the current pig cycle has basically bottomed out.

At present, the price is generally close to the cost line level, but it has not completely got rid of the loss.

For some high-cost pig enterprises or farmers, the cost line is generally 17- 18 yuan/kg, so the current price is close to the cost line.

For most farmers, it is now basically certain that there is no problem in getting rid of the difficulties in the pig market, and each fat pig can have a profit margin of at least 200-300 yuan in the later period.

This wave of pig market price rebound is the worst off-season in a year, which also shows that the supply of pigs is decreasing. With the follow-up demand getting better and better, it is difficult for supply to increase significantly in the short term, and the possibility of a sharp drop in prices in the short term is very small.

At present, the price of live pigs has just risen above the breeding cost line, and it is expected that the market will rise in the second half of the year, and the phenomenon of weight gain at the breeding end may be more significant.

However, the overall price of live pigs will continue to rise, but there will not be much room for growth.

From the data point of view, from June to June, 65438+February, the sample enterprises slaughtered 6.05 million pigs per month, which was 2.37% higher than the average number of pigs slaughtered in June, 65438+ 10-5.

Therefore, it is expected that the supply of live pigs will remain relatively abundant in the second half of this year. In the case that the bottom of the pig cycle has been formed and the upward trend of pig prices is determined, the abundant supply will undoubtedly limit the space for pig prices to rise to a certain extent. The specific location of the subsequent increase in live pig prices depends on the degree of consumption recovery at that time.

The recent unexpected increase in pig prices will also overdraw the room for subsequent increases in pig prices.

Now that June is drawing to a close, the pig price is obviously supported by the bullish sentiment in the market and the pressure bar at the breeding end, and there is still a basis for the pig price to continue to rebound. However, due to the long-term shrinkage of slaughter and the increase of market pressure, the weight of pigs will gradually increase. After three months of fattening, the medium and low standard pigs with hot money will gradually enter the platoon period. Therefore, in the absence of consumer support, the mood of big pigs will increase, which will also become

According to the monitoring of the pig price system, among the 26 provinces and cities monitored today, the price of live pigs rose by 25% and fell by 1, and the rising areas accounted for 96% of all the monitored areas. The average price of live pigs monitored nationwide is 8.72 yuan/kg, the highest is 8.97 yuan/kg, and the overall average price of live pigs is 8.85 yuan/kg, which is 0.38 yuan/kg higher than the national average price of live pigs yesterday.

Judging from the procurement difficulty of slaughter enterprises, the procurement difficulty of slaughter enterprises is still too large, showing obvious resistance to high-priced pig sources. Because the price increase of slaughterhouse products is less than the cost, some enterprises reduce production or even stop production, the price performance of slaughterhouse enterprises is chaotic, and traders shrink the number of goods received.

The market sentiment is obviously weakened, the phenomenon of bulls is obviously weakened, and the mood of stability and even bearish is obviously increased.

Most of the pig prices in the breeding group increased, and the pig prices in the breeding group increased obviously. The increase in pig prices of pig-raising enterprises has weakened. The phenomenon of pig price premium of breeding groups in the northern region has weakened, and the number of pigs listed by leading groups has increased or decreased, and the overall quantity has increased to some extent. The increase in pig prices has weakened, the enthusiasm of traders for bidding has dropped significantly, and the phenomenon of grabbing pigs is significantly less than that of the previous two days.

The ex-factory price of white striped pigs in northern slaughter enterprises increased by 500-800 yuan/ton, and the enthusiasm of traders for receiving goods was obviously weakened, and the loss of slaughter enterprises was still obvious.

Forecast of pig price trend tomorrow: Based on the recent analysis of pig market factors, it is expected that the pig price will continue to show a trend of "steady and rising" tomorrow.

The above interpretation of the pig market is for your reference. Welcome everyone to exchange views on the hog market, grasp the market dynamics, collect and share, and tomorrow will be more exciting. I believe that with your help, the price of pigs will rise again.