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Heartache! What is the probability of survival after the crash of China Eastern Airlines passenger plane in Guangxi caused a mountain fire?

On March 2 1 day, 2022, an accident occurred on a China Eastern Airlines Boeing 737 with 133 passengers in tengxian, Wuzhou, Guangxi, which caused a mountain fire. It is understood that the MU5735 aircraft of China Eastern Airlines is numbered B- 179 1 with an age of 6.8 years and belongs to a relatively new passenger aircraft. The flight was scheduled to take off from Kunming Changshui Airport on 13 in the afternoon and arrive at Guangzhou Baiyun Airport on 15 in the afternoon, but after taking off on 13 and 15 in the afternoon, it lost contact with the ground around 14: 20.

Subsequently, according to a number of media reports, the speed and altitude of the flight plummeted near Wuzhou during the flight, and then fell into the mountains. The live video shows that there is smoke coming out of the mountain area. Someone found the wreckage of the wing part of China Eastern Airlines passenger plane at the scene, with the fuselage logo of China Eastern Airlines on it, which was very sad!

The last safe flight accident of China civil aviation occurred on 20 10 on August 24th, 2 1: 38. The aircraft of Henan Airlines Co., Ltd., with the model of ERJ- 190 and the registration number of B-3 130, carries out the scheduled passenger flight mission from Harbin to Yichun VD8387, which is 690 away from runway 30 of Yichun Dulin Airport in Heilongjiang. The accident caused 44 deaths and 52 injuries, resulting in a direct economic loss of 308,965,438+10,000 yuan.

Safety responsibility can not be ignored, more important than Mount Tai! So if there is a plane crash, is there a chance for people to escape? What are the chances of survival?

It can be clearly said that there is a chance to escape! As for the probability of survival, it depends on the severity of the accident. If you are unfortunate enough to encounter devastating accidents such as plane collision and disintegration in the air, the probability of survival is close to zero, and the accident of China Eastern Airlines flight MU5735 is one of the most serious situations. But then again, this is the most extreme situation. Generally speaking, 50% of aircraft accidents occur in the landing phase and 30% in the take-off phase. Even in the cruise phase, even if the engine is turned off, the flight crew has strong emergency capabilities such as handling and forced landing.

According to aviation statistics, in 2000, there was only one fatal air crash in every 1 176500 flights. It can also be understood that if someone flies once a day, it will take 3223 years to encounter an air crash. In addition, a fatal air crash does not mean that all passengers are killed. According to the data, 58% of all air crashes from 1959 to 1997 were all destroyed and some people died. The plane was completely destroyed, but 32% people died; The plane was not completely destroyed, but 10% was killed.

Now the technology is relatively developed, and it is also applied in the safety design of aircraft structures. The design also takes into account the consequences of the accident, as long as it does not fall directly from the sky, it can still play a certain protective role for passengers. In fact, it is still very common for people to die in a plane crash, at least not completely.

Similar to the crash of China Eastern Airlines in Wuzhou, or other air disintegration, the probability of survival is really low, but as long as the rescue is timely and other things on board are handled properly, there will still be a high probability of survival. At the beginning of this century, an Air China flight crashed into a mountain in South Korea (CA 129, 122 died and 6 people were missing). Due to proper handling, 38 people, including the pilot, survived.

If there is an emergency on the plane, flight attendants are the key to saving lives, so flight attendants must be required to have strong psychological quality and professional emergency knowledge. And at each pre-flight meeting, the evacuation area and belongings of each cabin are clearly defined. Don't do anything unrelated to safety at the critical stage of take-off and landing. Monitor the aircraft and cabin immediately and put out possible dangerous factors in time.

But then again, although the probability of plane accidents is lower than that of trains, once the plane crashes at high altitude, people's psychological endurance caused by fear is also a huge test. Professionals say that one and a half minutes after the plane crash is the "golden" time to escape. In other words, as a passenger, he should also have strong psychological quality and actively cooperate with the command of the crew to complete the escape action. If we can take some quick actions to save ourselves in the plane crash, there is a great possibility of survival.