Zhang Wenhong made a 10 judgment on the epidemic situation. What are these judgments?

During the Spring Festival, Dr. Zhang Wenhong, who is also the director of the Infectious Diseases Department of Huashan Hospital affiliated to Fudan University and the head of the Shanghai Xin/Guan/Lung/Inflammation Clinical Treatment Expert Group, published an article entitled "Retrospect and Prospect of Anti-COVID-19 in One Year" in Weibo, and made a 10 judgment on the epidemic situation, including the summary of the experience gained in the past year, the current situation and progress of anti-epidemic and the work that must be done in the future. According to the judgment of dr. zhang 10, the specific analysis is as follows:

1. National unity is the basis for defeating the once-in-a-century plague.

I believe this is the common sense of all China people. In the face of the sudden epidemic, there is no ready-made experience for reference, and there is no successful example for reference. However, with one order, Wuhan was closed to the whole people, and then the epidemic was repeated several times. From Beijing Xinfadi to Dalian to Xinjiang, Hebei, Northeast China, Shanghai, Tianjin and even this winter, the impact of the plague became more and more controllable.

Second, the ability of government governance is the key to overcome the plague.

This is also obvious to all. All medical staff, workers and volunteers from all walks of life, under unified control and command, perform their duties, go wherever necessary, do nucleic acid tests day and night, and go door to door to ensure normal life and work order as much as possible, making it possible to defeat the plague.

Third, the development of early virus identification and diagnosis technology is a blessing in disguise.

COVID-19 is sudden, and its rapid spread, high pathogenicity and mortality rate once made everyone feel unsafe. However, in the process of fighting virus, the development of virus identification and diagnosis technology has brought hope to human beings, laying a solid foundation for early detection of infected people and isolation of infection sources.

Four, targeted drugs have not made significant progress, but the existing medical technology has been fully utilized.

Dr. Zhang Wenhong admitted that up to now, no definite targeted antiviral drugs have been obtained, and human beings have not mastered cocktail therapy similar to AIDS, but the existing medical technology has been fully utilized, which can support most critically ill patients to recover by their own immunity and finally overcome the disease. In countries like Singapore and China where medical resources are not overwhelmed, the mortality rate can be reduced to below 0.05%. This figure is enough to eliminate our fear of disease.

The progress of vaccine has exceeded expectations, and mankind may be able to get out of the quagmire.

COVID-19 has become a resident virus in the world. There is no other way to open the world except vaccines, unless you are willing to pay a lot of death. Vaccine research and development in COVID-19 has created a record of vaccine research and development in history. 1 year, the whole process from vaccine development to marketing has been completed.

6. Therapeutic drugs will eventually come out and be widely used. With vaccines, the mortality rate in COVID-19 will be greatly reduced.

According to the existing medical technology and level, human beings should be able to successfully obtain exact targeted antiviral drugs within five years. However, the cost of drugs far exceeds that of vaccines, and there has never been a successful precedent in the world to get rid of the epidemic through drug treatment. Therefore, the role of targeted drugs is to reduce mortality, supplement the global vaccination shortage, and give the world a chance to reopen.

Seven, virus variation is a natural law, and human beings can still control it at present.

Virus mutation is inevitable, which is determined by the basic principles of evolution. Mutants began to appear in Britain, but most vaccines and immune sera still have protective effects. At present, the international mRNA vaccine and the inactivated vaccine in China still have protective effect on the mutant in South Africa. Although the variation will continue, vaccine production lines seem to be able to cope with these variations both at home and abroad.

8. The reopening of the world depends on the accessibility and fairness of vaccines and the speed of promotion.

Whether the world can be reopened depends on whether the accessibility of global vaccines follows the principle of fairness. Dr. Zhang Wenhong disclosed that he was invited to participate in the meeting of the WHO expert group to discuss the global vaccine accessibility, and the WHO expert group was worried about this because there is no consensus on the global vaccine distribution. However, with the interaction between leaders of major countries, especially China and the United States, and the exchange of greetings during the New Year in China, it seems that there may be a turning point when the world reaches a consensus to support WHO in promoting global vaccination.

Nine, China must strengthen the construction of public health system, in order to usher in a real normal life.

China has the ability to control the epidemic, but this is on the premise that many people and families have made many sacrifices. For example, 6,543.8 billion people spent the New Year in the same place this year. Therefore, only by strengthening the construction of public health system, achieving early warning, rapid response, accurate prevention and control, and dynamic clearing, can China usher in a truly normal life until universal vaccination coverage is completed.

10. Whether you like it or not, global cooperation is the common choice of all countries in the world.

The world is an identical object. Just because there are no cases in China doesn't mean that the virus has really been defeated? In fact, most of the cases affecting us now are imported cases. Therefore, only through global cooperation and vaccination can the whole world be revived.

At the end of the article, Dr. Zhang Wenhong said? Perhaps this plague has once again given mankind a reason to unite. ? His 10 judgment made people have a clearer understanding of the whole epidemic, without fear, but without blind optimism, and insisted on managing themselves until the time of complete victory.