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The European Parliament voted for Ukraine to join NATO. What measures will Russia take?
On the afternoon of June 15, 2023, the European Parliament voted, and finally passed an important issue on Ukraine with 425 votes in favor, 38 votes against and 42 abstentions. The resolution calls for inviting Ukraine to join NATO at the NATO summit in July, and expresses the hope that the process of Ukraine's joining NATO will start immediately and be completed as soon as possible.
What is the message behind this vote in the European Parliament?
Some people think that the European Parliament's vote for Ukraine to join NATO seems to be an invitation, but it is more like an ultimatum.
Let's take a look at this resolution. The European Parliament urges Ukraine to join NATO at the NATO summit next month. This gives people a feeling that Europe is in a hurry. Is this Ukraine joining NATO? Otherwise NATO will go straight to the end. However, this invitation has one condition. Members of the European Parliament expressed the hope that Ukraine's accession to NATO would be started immediately after the war and completed as soon as possible.
Let's see that the European Parliament voted this time, not NATO led by the United States. It can be said that this voting result represents the attitude of Europe to a certain extent. Inviting Ukraine to join NATO smacks of Europe's desire to end this conflict quickly.
This is also a disguised call to the United States, and Europe does not want to fight.
The Russian-Ukrainian crisis has led to inflation and high energy consumption in Europe. It's really unbearable and exhausted. On the one hand, it calls on the United States to stop pushing the war to continue, on the other hand, it tells Ukraine to end the war in order to realize its desire to join NATO. It can be seen that Europe is really tired of this conflict. Without Europe's full support for NATO, it is estimated that the United States may face great challenges if it wants to continue to be impulsive, and Ukraine will also face its own choices. .
Does this resolution have any impact on Ukraine's accession to NATO?
Some people think that Ukraine's accession to NATO is a dawn, or there is great hope. It is true that many countries support it, such as the European Parliament, but the European Parliament cannot govern NATO. Voting in the European Parliament, whether for or against, is at best a moral and public opinion influence.
Whether NATO wants Ukraine to join depends on whether 3 1 member countries vote for it. It also depends on whether Ukraine meets the standards set by NATO. Joining any organization does not mean that the upper lip touches the lower lip, nor does it mean that a big boss speaks. Signing is not that simple. NATO has specific rules for admitting new members.
In addition, article 5 of NATO stipulates that a war between any country and one of NATO allies means a collective war with NATO. Now if Ukraine joins NATO, it means that NATO officially goes to war with Russia. Will NATO take this risk? Would you like to take this pot? This matter is still ambiguous.
This is NATO's most hesitant and headache. Many politicians and many countries are unwilling to keep Ukraine out, but if Ukraine is really absorbed, it will risk confrontation with Russia. Therefore, there is not much Ukraine can do in the middle.
So how will the Russian side react?
1, Russia will still hope to gain battlefield advantage and bring Ukraine to the negotiating table.
Russia will never allow Ukraine to join NATO. Russian President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly stressed that Ukraine's accession to NATO will pose a serious threat to Russia's security, which is Russia's "red line". Therefore, the resolution of this parliament will not be accepted by Russia. The goal of "demilitarization" has never changed, and Ukraine can only be "surrendered".
Don't refuse to return to the negotiating table.
On June 16, local time, an African peace delegation visited Ukraine with the main purpose of mediating the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. At present, many countries that advocate peace in the world are trying their best to mediate the relationship between Russia and Ukraine, especially China. Russia has never closed the door to peace talks.
The conflict between Russia and Ukraine led to today's situation. Everyone is sad except the United States, Russia, Ukraine and Europe. Now, the right choice is to return to the negotiating table. Everyone should mind their own affairs and develop the economy.
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